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Ekstraklasa

Referee: Tomasz Marciniak

Nieciecza

U T T T U

0–3

Full-time

GKS Katowice

U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nieciecza GKS Katowice

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

4,0

3,3

Scored

1,3

2,2

Conceded

2,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 23%

15%

31%

Points per game

0,8

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

46%

62%

Both score Ø 58%

69%

46%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,9

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,08 xG 2,15

66% Possession 34%

18 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 7

5 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 6

7 Corners 2

1 Offside 4

13 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nieciecza 17. · GKS Katowice 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gornik Zabrze	13	8	2	3	+10	-1.3	26
2	Jagiellonia	12	7	3	2	+9	+0.6	24
3	Wisla Plock	12	6	4	2	+7	+6.4	22
4	Cracovia	12	6	3	3	+7	+4.5	21
5	Lech Poznan	12	5	5	2	+2	+6.9	20
6	Korona Kielce	13	5	4	4	+4	-2.0	19
7	Zaglebie	12	4	5	3	+7	-1.0	17
8	Rakow	12	5	2	5	-2	+0.8	17
9	Pogon Szczecin	13	5	2	6	-3	+5.4	17
10	Legia	12	4	4	4	+2	+2.6	16
11	Radomiak Radom	13	4	4	5	+0	-0.8	16
12	Widzew Lodz	13	5	1	7	+0	+2.9	16
13	Lechia Gdansk	13	4	3	6	-7	-3.0	15
14	Arka Gdynia	13	4	3	6	-11	-6.0	15
15	Motor Lublin	12	3	5	4	-5	-2.5	14
16	GKS Katowice	13	4	2	7	-7	-7.0	14
17	Nieciecza	13	2	4	7	-8	-1.7	10
18	Piast Gliwice	11	1	4	6	-5	-4.8	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	7	5	1	1	+7	+5.3	16
2	Jagiellonia	6	5	0	1	+8	+0.6	15
3	Gornik Zabrze	7	5	0	2	+6	+1.7	15
4	Radomiak Radom	7	4	2	1	+8	+1.5	14
5	Cracovia	6	4	2	0	+6	+4.2	14
6	Arka Gdynia	6	4	2	0	+4	-2.2	14
7	Korona Kielce	6	4	1	1	+7	+1.3	13
8	Widzew Lodz	7	4	1	2	+5	+2.1	13
9	Zaglebie	6	3	3	0	+10	+1.9	12
10	Legia	6	3	3	0	+6	+2.3	12
11	Pogon Szczecin	6	4	0	2	+3	+4.5	12
12	GKS Katowice	7	3	1	3	+0	-3.1	10
13	Motor Lublin	6	2	3	1	+1	+2.1	9
14	Lech Poznan	7	2	3	2	-2	+5.0	9
15	Lechia Gdansk	5	2	2	1	+2	+1.1	8
16	Rakow	6	2	2	2	+1	+1.6	8
17	Piast Gliwice	5	1	2	2	+0	+0.1	5
18	Nieciecza	6	0	2	4	-7	-1.1	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	5	3	2	0	+4	+1.9	11
2	Gornik Zabrze	6	3	2	1	+4	-3.0	11
3	Jagiellonia	6	2	3	1	+1	–	9
4	Rakow	6	3	0	3	-3	-0.8	9
5	Nieciecza	7	2	2	3	-1	-0.6	8
6	Cracovia	6	2	1	3	+1	+0.3	7
7	Lechia Gdansk	8	2	1	5	-9	-4.2	7
8	Wisla Plock	5	1	3	1	+0	+1.1	6
9	Korona Kielce	7	1	3	3	-3	-3.4	6
10	Zaglebie	6	1	2	3	-3	-2.9	5
11	Pogon Szczecin	7	1	2	4	-6	+0.9	5
12	Motor Lublin	6	1	2	3	-6	-4.6	5
13	Legia	6	1	1	4	-4	+0.3	4
14	GKS Katowice	6	1	1	4	-7	-3.8	4
15	Widzew Lodz	6	1	0	5	-5	+0.8	3
16	Piast Gliwice	6	0	2	4	-5	-5.0	2
17	Radomiak Radom	6	0	2	4	-8	-2.3	2
18	Arka Gdynia	7	0	1	6	-15	-3.8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.