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Premiership

Referee: K Clancy

Motherwell

S S U S S

0–0

Full-time

Hearts

S U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Hearts

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,8

2,2

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 54%

38%

69%

Points per game

1,6

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

46%

62%

Both score Ø 58%

69%

46%

Average goals

2,8

3,1

Scored

1,7

2,2

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,66 xG 0,41

55% Possession 45%

9 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

3 Corners 4

3 Offside 1

4 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Motherwell 4. · Hearts 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	13	9	3	1	+18	+5.7	30
2	Celtic	12	8	2	2	+13	+4.4	26
3	Hibernian	14	5	6	3	+7	+0.0	21
4	Motherwell	13	5	6	2	+7	+4.8	21
5	Rangers	12	5	6	1	+6	-1.3	21
6	Falkirk	13	5	4	4	-2	+1.5	19
7	Dundee United	12	3	5	4	-2	-1.6	14
8	Aberdeen	12	4	2	6	-3	-3.8	14
9	St Mirren	12	2	4	6	-8	-1.8	10
10	Kilmarnock	13	2	4	7	-11	-4.1	10
11	Dundee	13	2	3	8	-15	-6.1	9
12	Livingston	13	1	5	7	-10	+2.3	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	7	5	2	0	+12	+2.6	17
2	Celtic	6	5	1	0	+13	+4.1	16
3	Motherwell	6	3	2	1	+5	+3.7	11
4	Falkirk	7	2	4	1	+2	+1.8	10
5	Hibernian	6	2	3	1	+5	+2.0	9
6	Rangers	6	2	3	1	+1	+0.9	9
7	Aberdeen	7	2	2	3	+1	-3.9	8
8	Dundee United	6	2	1	3	-2	-1.3	7
9	Dundee	6	2	1	3	-3	-1.6	7
10	St Mirren	7	1	3	3	-4	+0.0	6
11	Kilmarnock	7	1	2	4	-5	-0.3	5
12	Livingston	5	1	1	3	-1	+2.7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	6	4	1	1	+6	+3.1	13
2	Rangers	6	3	3	0	+5	-2.2	12
3	Hibernian	8	3	3	2	+2	-2.0	12
4	Motherwell	7	2	4	1	+2	+1.2	10
5	Celtic	6	3	1	2	+0	+0.3	10
6	Falkirk	6	3	0	3	-4	-0.4	9
7	Dundee United	6	1	4	1	+0	-0.3	7
8	Aberdeen	5	2	0	3	-4	+0.1	6
9	Kilmarnock	6	1	2	3	-6	-3.8	5
10	St Mirren	5	1	1	3	-4	-1.8	4
11	Livingston	8	0	4	4	-9	-0.4	4
12	Dundee	7	0	2	5	-12	-4.5	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.