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Premiership

Referee: M MacDermid

Kilmarnock

T T T T T

1–1

Full-time

Dundee United

U S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock Dundee United

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,3

2,8

Scored

0,5

1,2

Conceded

2,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

-2,3

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 13/12 matches

Win Ø 20%

15%

25%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

69%

50%

Both score Ø 56%

54%

58%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

1,1

1,5

Conceded

1,9

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,83 xG 1,49

46% Possession 54%

11 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kilmarnock 11. · Dundee United 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	14	9	4	1	+18	+5.4	31
2	Celtic	12	8	2	2	+13	+4.4	26
3	Motherwell	14	5	7	2	+7	+5.1	22
4	Hibernian	14	5	6	3	+7	+0.0	21
5	Rangers	12	5	6	1	+6	-1.3	21
6	Falkirk	13	5	4	4	-2	+1.5	19
7	Dundee United	12	3	5	4	-2	-1.6	14
8	Aberdeen	12	4	2	6	-3	-3.8	14
9	Dundee	14	3	3	8	-13	-6.7	12
10	St Mirren	13	2	4	7	-10	-1.2	10
11	Kilmarnock	13	2	4	7	-11	-4.1	10
12	Livingston	13	1	5	7	-10	+2.3	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	7	5	2	0	+12	+2.6	17
2	Celtic	6	5	1	0	+13	+4.1	16
3	Motherwell	7	3	3	1	+5	+3.9	12
4	Falkirk	7	2	4	1	+2	+1.8	10
5	Dundee	7	3	1	3	-1	-2.2	10
6	Hibernian	6	2	3	1	+5	+2.0	9
7	Rangers	6	2	3	1	+1	+0.9	9
8	Aberdeen	7	2	2	3	+1	-3.9	8
9	Dundee United	6	2	1	3	-2	-1.3	7
10	St Mirren	7	1	3	3	-4	+0.0	6
11	Kilmarnock	7	1	2	4	-5	-0.3	5
12	Livingston	5	1	1	3	-1	+2.7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	7	4	2	1	+6	+2.8	14
2	Rangers	6	3	3	0	+5	-2.2	12
3	Hibernian	8	3	3	2	+2	-2.0	12
4	Motherwell	7	2	4	1	+2	+1.2	10
5	Celtic	6	3	1	2	+0	+0.3	10
6	Falkirk	6	3	0	3	-4	-0.4	9
7	Dundee United	6	1	4	1	+0	-0.3	7
8	Aberdeen	5	2	0	3	-4	+0.1	6
9	Kilmarnock	6	1	2	3	-6	-3.8	5
10	St Mirren	6	1	1	4	-6	-1.2	4
11	Livingston	8	0	4	4	-9	-0.4	4
12	Dundee	7	0	2	5	-12	-4.5	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.