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Serie A
Referee: Marco Piccinini
Parma
U T T U S
0–2
Full-time
Udinese
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Parma Udinese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie A · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
42%
50%
Both score Ø 54%
50%
58%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,96 xG 1,74
51% Possession 49%
17 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 5
9 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 9
2 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Parma 15. · Udinese 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Roma 12 9 0 3 +9 +2.9 27
2 Milan 12 7 4 1 +9 +4.2 25
3 Napoli 12 8 1 3 +8 +4.0 25
4 Inter 12 8 0 4 +13 +13.0 24
5 Bologna 12 7 3 2 +13 +4.1 24
6 Como 13 6 6 1 +12 +5.3 24
7 Juventus 12 5 5 2 +4 +7.0 20
8 Lazio 12 5 3 4 +6 -3.3 18
9 Sassuolo 13 5 2 6 +0 -4.3 17
10 Udinese 12 4 3 5 -8 -3.0 15
11 Cremonese 12 3 5 4 -3 -7.3 14
12 Torino 12 3 5 4 -10 -5.7 14
13 Atalanta 12 2 7 3 +0 +3.8 13
14 Cagliari 12 2 5 5 -5 -7.3 11
15 Parma 12 2 5 5 -6 -2.9 11
16 Pisa 12 1 7 4 -6 -4.3 10
17 Lecce 12 2 4 6 -8 -6.0 10
18 Genoa 12 1 5 6 -8 +2.6 8
19 Fiorentina 12 0 6 6 -9 -2.3 6
20 Verona 12 0 6 6 -11 -0.4 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Parma Udinese
7′
🟨 Arthur Atta
Mandela Keita 🟨
10′
11′
N. Zaniolo 0–1
N. Bertola
Half-time 0–1
N. Estevez 🔁
↦ M. Keita
46′
J. Ondrejka 🔁
↦ P. Cutrone
46′
Hernani 🔁
↦ O. Sorensen
56′
Mariano Troilo 🟥
64′
Mariano Troilo ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
64′
65′
K. Davis 0–2
66′
🟨 Keinan Davis
68′
🔁 J. Ekkelenkamp
↦ A. Atta
68′
🔁 A. Buksa
↦ K. Davis
A. Benedyczak 🔁
↦ A. Bernabe
79′
M. Lovik 🔁
↦ E. Valeri
81′
82′
🔁 K. Ehizibue
↦ A. Zanoli
82′
🔁 I. Bravo
↦ N. Zaniolo
90′
🔁 O. Zarraga
↦ J. Piotrowski
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Parma

3-5-2
40 E. Corvi G
15 E. Del Prato D
37 M. Troilo D
5 L. Valenti D
27 S. Britschgi M
10 A. Bernabe M
16 M. Keita M
22 O. Sorensen M
14 E. Valeri M
32 P. Cutrone F
9 M. Pellegrino F
Bench (15)
13 V. Guaita
66 F. Rinaldi
18 M. Lovik
63 N. Trabucchi
70 B. Conde
8 N. Estevez
23 Hernani
24 C. Ordonez
25 B. Cremaschi
7 A. Benedyczak
11 P. Almqvist
17 J. Ondrejka
19 T. Begic
21 G. Oristanio
30 M. Djuric

Coach: Carlos Cuesta García

Udinese

3-5-2
40 M. Okoye G
13 N. Bertola D
27 C. Kabasele D
28 O. Solet D
59 A. Zanoli M
24 J. Piotrowski M
8 J. Karlstrom M
14 A. Atta M
33 J. Zemura M
10 N. Zaniolo F
9 K. Davis F
Bench (15)
90 R. Sava
93 D. Padelli
2 S. Goglichidze
16 M. Palma
19 K. Ehizibue
77 R. Modesto
4 S. Lovric
6 O. Zarraga
29 A. Camara
32 J. Ekkelenkamp
38 L. Miller
7 I. Gueye
15 V. Bayo
17 I. Bravo
18 A. Buksa

Coach: Kosta Runjaić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,64
U
3,09
B ✓
2,80
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,25
U2,5 ✓
1,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Marco Piccinini · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.