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Bundesliga
Referee: M Hameter
Grazer AK
U T S T S
3–1
Full-time
BW Linz
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Grazer AK BW Linz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 18%
14%
21%
Points per game
0,9
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
57%
43%
Both score Ø 43%
57%
29%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
0,9
0,9
Conceded
1,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,51 xG 0,61
44% Possession 56%
10 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Grazer AK 11. · BW Linz 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Salzburg 14 7 4 3 +12 +3.4 25
2 SK Rapid 14 7 3 4 +4 +0.7 24
3 Sturm Graz 13 7 1 5 +6 +4.6 22
4 Hartberg 14 6 4 4 +4 -1.0 22
5 LASK 14 7 1 6 -1 -3.6 22
6 Austria Vienna 14 7 1 6 -2 -0.4 22
7 Wolfsberger AC 14 6 3 5 +5 -2.6 21
8 Tirol 13 4 5 4 +0 +6.1 17
9 Altach 14 4 5 5 -1 +0.5 17
10 Ried 14 5 2 7 -5 -2.7 17
11 Grazer AK 14 2 6 6 -12 -2.3 12
12 BW Linz 14 3 1 10 -10 -2.6 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Grazer AK BW Linz
1–0 M. Satin
D. Maderner
4′
11′
🟨 Dominik Reiter
Martin Kreuzriegler 🟨
31′
44′
🟨 Martin Moormann
Murat Satin 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
Y. Oberleitner 🔁
↦ M. Kreuzriegler
46′
Ramiz Harakate 🟨
60′
64′
🔁 O. Wahling
↦ D. Reiter
72′
🔁 N. Maier
↦ Ronivaldo
2–0 R. Harakate
75′
C. Lichtenberger 🔁
↦ M. Satin
77′
D. Frieser 🔁
↦ T. Schriebl
83′
A. Hofleitner 🔁
↦ D. Maderner
83′
83′
🔁 D. Bumberger
↦ S. Pirkl
83′
🔁 M. Huskovic
↦ C. Cvetko
88′
M. Moormann 2–1
D. Bumberger
3–1 A. Hofleitner
90′
92′
🟨 Manuel Maranda
L. Graf 🔁
↦ R. Harakate
94′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Grazer AK

3-1-4-2
1 J. Meierhofer G
82 B. Owusu D
2 D. Pines D
4 M. Kreuzriegler D
6 S. Fofana M
20 T. Schriebl M
8 T. Koch M
7 M. Satin M
17 T. Schiestl M
22 R. Harakate F
9 D. Maderner F
Bench (9)
98 F. Ehmann
15 L. Graf
27 Y. Oberleitner
10 C. Lichtenberger
24 T. Paumgartner
11 T. Cipot
28 D. Frieser
25 A. Hofleitner
21 A. Prenqi

Coach: Ferdinand Feldhofer

BW Linz

3-4-2-1
1 V. Baier G
15 M. Maranda D
4 E. Bakatukanda D
16 M. Moormann D
29 D. Reiter M
14 C. Cvetko M
19 A. Briedl M
60 S. Pirkl M
18 S. Weissman F
20 S. Seidl F
9 Ronivaldo F
Bench (9)
24 T. Turner
23 D. Bumberger
17 A. Pasic
2 F. Strauss
6 M. Fofana
30 N. Maier
8 O. Wahling
25 M. Huskovic
10 P. Mensah

Coach: Michael Kollner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Hameter · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.