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Coupe de France

SA Mérignac

T S U U U

1–0

Full-time

Pau FC

T U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

SA Mérignac Pau FC

Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches

Win Ø 19%

20%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

40%

67%

Both score Ø 45%

40%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,3

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

1,0

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-1,3

This season — Coupe de France · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

0,0

2,0

Scored

0,0

2,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match SA Mérignac 107. · Pau FC 37. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Laval	2	2	0	0	+12	6
2	St Maur Lusitanos	2	2	0	0	+10	6
3	Amiens	2	2	0	0	+7	6
4	Nancy	2	2	0	0	+6	6
5	Reims	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	Orleans	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Grenoble	2	2	0	0	+4	6
8	Canet Roussillon	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	Concarneau	2	2	0	0	+4	6
10	Montpellier	2	2	0	0	+4	6
11	Sochaux	2	1	1	0	+6	4
12	Bastia	2	1	1	0	+6	4
13	Feurs	2	1	1	0	+2	4
14	Red Star	2	1	1	0	+2	4
15	Biesheim	2	1	1	0	+1	4
16	Croix Football IC	2	1	1	0	+1	4
17	Freyming	2	1	1	0	+1	4
18	Ancienne Château-Gontier	1	1	0	0	+9	3
19	Olympique Marcquois	1	1	0	0	+5	3
20	Carnoux	1	1	0	0	+4	3
21	Chauvigny	1	1	0	0	+4	3
22	Feignies-Aulnoye	1	1	0	0	+4	3
23	Aubervilliers	1	1	0	0	+3	3
24	MJEP Cormontreuil	1	1	0	0	+3	3
25	Stade Briochin	2	1	0	1	+3	3
26	Bassin d'Arcachon Sud	1	1	0	0	+3	3
27	Racing Besançon	2	1	0	1	+3	3
28	Troyes	1	1	0	0	+3	3
29	Raon l'Etape	1	1	0	0	+3	3
30	Mulhouse	1	1	0	0	+3	3
31	Chalon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
32	Chantilly	1	1	0	0	+3	3
33	Dieppe	1	1	0	0	+3	3
34	Les Herbiers	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	Granville	1	1	0	0	+2	3
36	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	Pau FC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
38	Chateauroux	1	1	0	0	+2	3
39	Pontivy GSI	1	1	0	0	+2	3
40	Bourg-en-bresse 01	1	1	0	0	+2	3
41	Stade Plabennec	1	1	0	0	+2	3
42	Bondues	1	1	0	0	+2	3
43	Lyon Duchere	1	1	0	0	+2	3
44	Romorantin	1	1	0	0	+2	3
45	Sarreguemines	2	1	0	1	+1	3
46	Rodez	2	1	0	1	+1	3
47	Gosier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
48	Bayeux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
49	Marmande	1	1	0	0	+1	3
50	Abbeville	1	1	0	0	+1	3
51	Guingamp	1	1	0	0	+1	3
52	Yvetot	1	1	0	0	+1	3
53	Poitiers	1	1	0	0	+1	3
54	Istres	1	1	0	0	+1	3
55	Bordeaux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
56	Le Puy Foot	1	1	0	0	+1	3
57	Mazeres	1	1	0	0	+1	3
58	Montreuil	1	1	0	0	+1	3
59	Beaucouzé	1	1	0	0	+1	3
60	Annecy	2	1	0	1	+0	3
61	Union Saint-Jean	2	1	0	1	+0	3
62	Montceau	2	1	0	1	-1	3
63	Torcy	2	1	0	1	-2	3
64	Reims Sainte-Anne	2	1	0	1	-3	3
65	Saint-Pauloise	2	1	0	1	-5	3
66	Hauts Lyonnais	2	0	2	0	+0	2
67	Saint-Malo	2	0	2	0	+0	2
68	Nord Lozère	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	Ecotay Moingt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
70	Boulogne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
71	Dunkerque	1	0	1	0	+0	1
72	Oissel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
73	Quevilly Rouen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
74	Racing Colombes 92	1	0	1	0	+0	1
75	APM Metz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
76	Fleury 91	1	0	1	0	+0	1
77	Pontarlier	1	0	1	0	+0	1
78	Etoile Matoury	1	0	1	0	+0	1
79	Wittenheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
80	Andrézieux	1	0	1	0	+0	1
81	Vitré	1	0	1	0	+0	1
82	Plouvorn	1	0	1	0	+0	1
83	Loon-Plage	1	0	1	0	+0	1
84	Stade Béthunois	1	0	1	0	+0	1
85	Saint-Meziery	1	0	1	0	+0	1
86	Périgny	1	0	1	0	+0	1
87	Rhone-Vallee	1	0	1	0	+0	1
88	Grasse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
89	Villars-l'Isle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
90	Steenvoorde	1	0	1	0	+0	1
91	Chambly Thelle FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
92	Ivry	1	0	1	0	+0	1
93	Le Mans	1	0	1	0	+0	1
94	Etoile Bobigny	1	0	1	0	+0	1
95	Villeneuve-la-Garenne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
96	Saint-Brice Courcelles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
97	Pen Hir	1	0	1	0	+0	1
98	Les Sables-d'Olonne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
99	UF Touraine	1	0	1	0	+0	1
100	Épernay	1	0	1	0	+0	1
101	Blois	1	0	1	0	+0	1
102	Clermont	1	0	1	0	+0	1
103	Drancy	1	0	1	0	+0	1
104	Beauvais	1	0	1	0	+0	1
105	Avranches	1	0	1	0	+0	1
106	Gobelins	1	0	1	0	+0	1
107	SA Mérignac	1	0	1	0	+0	1
108	Colomiers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
109	Sablé	1	0	1	0	+0	1
110	Vendée Fontenay	1	0	1	0	+0	1
111	Chamalières	1	0	1	0	+0	1
112	Saint-Cyr Collonges	1	0	1	0	+0	1
113	Thonon Évian	1	0	1	0	+0	1
114	Seyssinet-Pariset	1	0	1	0	+0	1
115	Aubagne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
116	Espoir Ste Luce	1	0	1	0	+0	1
117	Eveil	1	0	1	0	+0	1
118	Mauguio Carnon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
119	Selongey	1	0	1	0	+0	1
120	Le Geldar	2	0	1	1	-1	1
121	Bogny	2	0	1	1	-3	1
122	Sarre Union	2	0	1	1	-6	1
123	Strasbourg Koenigshoffen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
124	Moulien	1	0	0	1	-1	0
125	Caen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
126	Seignosse Capbreton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
127	ES Cappelle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
128	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	1	0	0	1	-1	0
129	Cannes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
130	Saint-Colomban Locminé	1	0	0	1	-1	0
131	L'Etrat La Tour	1	0	0	1	-1	0
132	Caen PTT	1	0	0	1	-1	0
133	Lapalisse	1	0	0	1	-1	0
134	SS Allinges	1	0	0	1	-1	0
135	Boé Bon Encontre	1	0	0	1	-1	0
136	ASPTT Dijon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
137	OCPAM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
138	Angoulême	1	0	0	1	-1	0
139	FC 2 Rives 82	1	0	0	1	-1	0
140	Bandrele	1	0	0	1	-1	0
141	Montmorillon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
142	Dominicaine	1	0	0	1	-1	0
143	Savigneux Montbrison	1	0	0	1	-2	0
144	Furiani-Agliani	1	0	0	1	-2	0
145	Orvault SF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
146	Dinan Léhon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
147	Lavaur	1	0	0	1	-2	0
148	Quetigny	1	0	0	1	-2	0
149	Trélissac	1	0	0	1	-2	0
150	Biars-Bretenoux	1	0	0	1	-2	0
151	Agde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
152	Challans	1	0	0	1	-2	0
153	Forbach	1	0	0	1	-2	0
154	Atlas Paillade	1	0	0	1	-2	0
155	Avion	1	0	0	1	-2	0
156	Plédran	1	0	0	1	-2	0
157	Longuenesse	1	0	0	1	-2	0
158	Pierrelatte	1	0	0	1	-2	0
159	Le Poinconnet	1	0	0	1	-2	0
160	SA Beaumont	1	0	0	1	-3	0
161	Porto Portugais Amiens	1	0	0	1	-3	0
162	Blagnac	1	0	0	1	-3	0
163	Auch	1	0	0	1	-3	0
164	Bayonne	1	0	0	1	-3	0
165	France Aizenay	1	0	0	1	-3	0
166	ASS Still Mutzig	1	0	0	1	-3	0
167	Olympique de Villefontaine	1	0	0	1	-3	0
168	Magenta	1	0	0	1	-3	0
169	Auby	1	0	0	1	-3	0
170	Les Bleuets	1	0	0	1	-3	0
171	Montreal-la-Cluse	1	0	0	1	-3	0
172	Premontre	1	0	0	1	-3	0
173	Saint-Amand	1	0	0	1	-3	0
174	Pirae	1	0	0	1	-4	0
175	Avenir Sportif de Gouzon	1	0	0	1	-4	0
176	Cambrai	1	0	0	1	-4	0
177	Saint-Renan	1	0	0	1	-4	0
178	Thionville Lusitanos	1	0	0	1	-4	0
179	GSA Tomblaine	1	0	0	1	-5	0
180	OS Aire-Sur-La-Lys	1	0	0	1	-5	0
181	US Chateau-Malo	1	0	0	1	-6	0
182	Le Cellier Mauves	1	0	0	1	-6	0
183	Camon	1	0	0	1	-7	0
184	Stade Quimperlois	1	0	0	1	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Croix Football IC	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Laval	1	1	0	0	+6	3
3	Nancy	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Olympique Marcquois	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	Carnoux	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Racing Besançon	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	MJEP Cormontreuil	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Bassin d'Arcachon Sud	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Orleans	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Granville	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Sarreguemines	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Bayeux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Yvetot	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Concarneau	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Canet Roussillon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Freyming	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Montreuil	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Saint-Pauloise	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Union Saint-Jean	2	1	0	1	+0	3
20	Montceau	2	1	0	1	-1	3
21	Reims Sainte-Anne	2	1	0	1	-3	3
22	Nord Lozère	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Boulogne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Oissel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	APM Metz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Pontarlier	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Etoile Matoury	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Wittenheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Andrézieux	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Vitré	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Loon-Plage	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Hauts Lyonnais	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Saint-Meziery	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Biesheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Rhone-Vallee	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Villars-l'Isle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Steenvoorde	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Ivry	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Etoile Bobigny	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Saint-Brice Courcelles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Pen Hir	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	UF Touraine	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Blois	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Drancy	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Avranches	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Saint-Malo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	SA Mérignac	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Sablé	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Vendée Fontenay	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Saint-Cyr Collonges	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Seyssinet-Pariset	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Espoir Ste Luce	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Mauguio Carnon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Strasbourg Koenigshoffen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Moulien	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Seignosse Capbreton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	ES Cappelle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Annecy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Cannes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Saint-Colomban Locminé	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Lapalisse	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	SS Allinges	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Boé Bon Encontre	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	ASPTT Dijon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	OCPAM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	FC 2 Rives 82	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Montmorillon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Savigneux Montbrison	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Orvault SF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	Lavaur	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	Quetigny	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	Trélissac	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	Biars-Bretenoux	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Agde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	Challans	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	Forbach	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Atlas Paillade	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Avion	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Plédran	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	Longuenesse	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Pierrelatte	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Le Poinconnet	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	SA Beaumont	1	0	0	1	-3	0
84	Auch	1	0	0	1	-3	0
85	France Aizenay	1	0	0	1	-3	0
86	ASS Still Mutzig	1	0	0	1	-3	0
87	Olympique de Villefontaine	1	0	0	1	-3	0
88	Magenta	1	0	0	1	-3	0
89	Auby	1	0	0	1	-3	0
90	Les Bleuets	1	0	0	1	-3	0
91	Montreal-la-Cluse	1	0	0	1	-3	0
92	Premontre	1	0	0	1	-3	0
93	Bogny	1	0	0	1	-3	0
94	Saint-Amand	1	0	0	1	-3	0
95	Torcy	1	0	0	1	-4	0
96	Avenir Sportif de Gouzon	1	0	0	1	-4	0
97	Cambrai	1	0	0	1	-4	0
98	Saint-Renan	1	0	0	1	-4	0
99	Sarre Union	1	0	0	1	-6	0
100	US Chateau-Malo	1	0	0	1	-6	0
101	Le Cellier Mauves	1	0	0	1	-6	0
102	Camon	1	0	0	1	-7	0
103	Stade Quimperlois	1	0	0	1	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Maur Lusitanos	2	2	0	0	+10	6
2	Amiens	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Reims	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Grenoble	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Montpellier	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Sochaux	2	1	1	0	+6	4
7	Bastia	2	1	1	0	+6	4
8	Feurs	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Red Star	2	1	1	0	+2	4
10	Ancienne Château-Gontier	1	1	0	0	+9	3
11	Laval	1	1	0	0	+6	3
12	Chauvigny	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Feignies-Aulnoye	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Aubervilliers	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Stade Briochin	2	1	0	1	+3	3
16	Canet Roussillon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Troyes	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Raon l'Etape	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Mulhouse	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Concarneau	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Chalon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	Chantilly	1	1	0	0	+3	3
23	Dieppe	1	1	0	0	+3	3
24	Les Herbiers	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Pau FC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Chateauroux	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Pontivy GSI	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Bourg-en-bresse 01	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Torcy	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Stade Plabennec	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Bondues	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Lyon Duchere	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Romorantin	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	Nancy	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Biesheim	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Rodez	2	1	0	1	+1	3
38	Gosier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Marmande	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Abbeville	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Annecy	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Guingamp	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Orleans	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Poitiers	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Istres	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Bordeaux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	Le Puy Foot	1	1	0	0	+1	3
48	Mazeres	1	1	0	0	+1	3
49	Beaucouzé	1	1	0	0	+1	3
50	Ecotay Moingt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Dunkerque	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Quevilly Rouen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Racing Colombes 92	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Fleury 91	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Freyming	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Hauts Lyonnais	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Plouvorn	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Stade Béthunois	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Périgny	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Grasse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Sarre Union	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Chambly Thelle FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Le Mans	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Villeneuve-la-Garenne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Bogny	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Les Sables-d'Olonne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Épernay	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Clermont	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	Beauvais	1	0	1	0	+0	1
70	Gobelins	1	0	1	0	+0	1
71	Colomiers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
72	Saint-Malo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
73	Chamalières	1	0	1	0	+0	1
74	Thonon Évian	1	0	1	0	+0	1
75	Aubagne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
76	Eveil	1	0	1	0	+0	1
77	Selongey	1	0	1	0	+0	1
78	Le Geldar	2	0	1	1	-1	1
79	Caen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	L'Etrat La Tour	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Caen PTT	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Racing Besançon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Angoulême	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Bandrele	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Dominicaine	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Furiani-Agliani	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Dinan Léhon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	Porto Portugais Amiens	1	0	0	1	-3	0
90	Blagnac	1	0	0	1	-3	0
91	Bayonne	1	0	0	1	-3	0
92	Pirae	1	0	0	1	-4	0
93	Thionville Lusitanos	1	0	0	1	-4	0
94	GSA Tomblaine	1	0	0	1	-5	0
95	OS Aire-Sur-La-Lys	1	0	0	1	-5	0
96	Saint-Pauloise	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.