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Coupe de France
Espoir Ste Luce
U
0–4
Full-time
Pontivy GSI
S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espoir Ste Luce Pontivy GSI
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
0,0
1,7
Scored
0,0
1,3
Conceded
0,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
This season — Coupe de France · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
0,0
2,0
Scored
0,0
2,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Espoir Ste Luce 112. · Pontivy GSI 53. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Etienne 2 2 0 0 +12 6
2 Laval 2 2 0 0 +12 6
3 St Maur Lusitanos 2 2 0 0 +10 6
4 Amiens 2 2 0 0 +7 6
5 Olympique Marcquois 2 2 0 0 +7 6
6 Nancy 2 2 0 0 +6 6
7 Feignies-Aulnoye 2 2 0 0 +6 6
8 Reims 2 2 0 0 +5 6
9 Guingamp 2 2 0 0 +5 6
10 Orleans 2 2 0 0 +4 6
11 Grenoble 2 2 0 0 +4 6
12 Dieppe 2 2 0 0 +4 6
13 Lyon Duchere 2 2 0 0 +4 6
14 Canet Roussillon 2 2 0 0 +4 6
15 Concarneau 2 2 0 0 +4 6
16 Montpellier 2 2 0 0 +4 6
17 Les Herbiers 2 2 0 0 +3 6
18 Bourg-en-bresse 01 2 2 0 0 +3 6
19 Istres 2 2 0 0 +3 6
20 Bordeaux 2 2 0 0 +2 6
21 Bayeux 2 2 0 0 +2 6
22 Le Puy Foot 2 2 0 0 +2 6
23 Sochaux 2 1 1 0 +6 4
24 Bastia 2 1 1 0 +6 4
25 Dunkerque 2 1 1 0 +5 4
26 Chauvigny 2 1 1 0 +4 4
27 Raon l'Etape 2 1 1 0 +3 4
28 Mulhouse 2 1 1 0 +3 4
29 Bassin d'Arcachon Sud 2 1 1 0 +3 4
30 Vendée Fontenay 2 1 1 0 +3 4
31 Feurs 2 1 1 0 +2 4
32 Granville 2 1 1 0 +2 4
33 Périgny 2 1 1 0 +2 4
34 Romorantin 2 1 1 0 +2 4
35 Red Star 2 1 1 0 +2 4
36 Gosier 2 1 1 0 +1 4
37 Poitiers 2 1 1 0 +1 4
38 Biesheim 2 1 1 0 +1 4
39 Croix Football IC 2 1 1 0 +1 4
40 Freyming 2 1 1 0 +1 4
41 Marmande 2 1 1 0 +1 4
42 Montreuil 2 1 1 0 +1 4
43 SA Mérignac 2 1 1 0 +1 4
44 Ancienne Château-Gontier 2 1 0 1 +5 3
45 Aubervilliers 1 1 0 0 +3 3
46 MJEP Cormontreuil 1 1 0 0 +3 3
47 Stade Briochin 2 1 0 1 +3 3
48 Racing Besançon 2 1 0 1 +3 3
49 Troyes 1 1 0 0 +3 3
50 Chantilly 1 1 0 0 +3 3
51 Carnoux 2 1 0 1 +2 3
52 Chalon 2 1 0 1 +2 3
53 Pontivy GSI 1 1 0 0 +2 3
54 Sarreguemines 2 1 0 1 +1 3
55 Stade Plabennec 2 1 0 1 +1 3
56 Rodez 2 1 0 1 +1 3
57 Pau FC 2 1 0 1 +1 3
58 Mazeres 2 1 0 1 +0 3
59 Annecy 2 1 0 1 +0 3
60 Bondues 2 1 0 1 +0 3
61 Union Saint-Jean 2 1 0 1 +0 3
62 Yvetot 2 1 0 1 +0 3
63 Chateauroux 2 1 0 1 -1 3
64 Montceau 2 1 0 1 -1 3
65 Beaucouzé 2 1 0 1 -1 3
66 Torcy 2 1 0 1 -2 3
67 Reims Sainte-Anne 2 1 0 1 -3 3
68 Abbeville 2 1 0 1 -4 3
69 Saint-Pauloise 2 1 0 1 -5 3
70 Oissel 2 0 2 0 +0 2
71 Blois 2 0 2 0 +0 2
72 Le Mans 2 0 2 0 +0 2
73 Villeneuve-la-Garenne 2 0 2 0 +0 2
74 Hauts Lyonnais 2 0 2 0 +0 2
75 Stade Béthunois 2 0 2 0 +0 2
76 Steenvoorde 2 0 2 0 +0 2
77 Saint-Malo 2 0 2 0 +0 2
78 Nord Lozère 1 0 1 0 +0 1
79 Boulogne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
80 Quevilly Rouen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
81 Racing Colombes 92 1 0 1 0 +0 1
82 Fleury 91 1 0 1 0 +0 1
83 Pontarlier 1 0 1 0 +0 1
84 Etoile Matoury 1 0 1 0 +0 1
85 Wittenheim 1 0 1 0 +0 1
86 Andrézieux 1 0 1 0 +0 1
87 Vitré 1 0 1 0 +0 1
88 Plouvorn 1 0 1 0 +0 1
89 Loon-Plage 1 0 1 0 +0 1
90 Saint-Meziery 1 0 1 0 +0 1
91 Rhone-Vallee 1 0 1 0 +0 1
92 Grasse 1 0 1 0 +0 1
93 Villars-l'Isle 1 0 1 0 +0 1
94 Chambly Thelle FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
95 Ivry 1 0 1 0 +0 1
96 Etoile Bobigny 1 0 1 0 +0 1
97 Saint-Brice Courcelles 1 0 1 0 +0 1
98 Pen Hir 1 0 1 0 +0 1
99 Les Sables-d'Olonne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
100 UF Touraine 1 0 1 0 +0 1
101 Épernay 1 0 1 0 +0 1
102 Clermont 1 0 1 0 +0 1
103 Drancy 1 0 1 0 +0 1
104 Avranches 1 0 1 0 +0 1
105 Gobelins 1 0 1 0 +0 1
106 Colomiers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
107 Sablé 1 0 1 0 +0 1
108 Chamalières 1 0 1 0 +0 1
109 Saint-Cyr Collonges 1 0 1 0 +0 1
110 Thonon Évian 1 0 1 0 +0 1
111 Aubagne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
112 Espoir Ste Luce 1 0 1 0 +0 1
113 Eveil 1 0 1 0 +0 1
114 Mauguio Carnon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
115 Le Geldar 2 0 1 1 -1 1
116 Selongey 2 0 1 1 -1 1
117 Beauvais 2 0 1 1 -1 1
118 APM Metz 2 0 1 1 -2 1
119 Seyssinet-Pariset 2 0 1 1 -2 1
120 Bogny 2 0 1 1 -3 1
121 Sarre Union 2 0 1 1 -6 1
122 Ecotay Moingt 2 0 1 1 -10 1
123 Strasbourg Koenigshoffen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
124 Moulien 1 0 0 1 -1 0
125 Caen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
126 Seignosse Capbreton 1 0 0 1 -1 0
127 ES Cappelle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
128 Gazelec FC Ajaccio 1 0 0 1 -1 0
129 Cannes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
130 Saint-Colomban Locminé 1 0 0 1 -1 0
131 L'Etrat La Tour 1 0 0 1 -1 0
132 Caen PTT 1 0 0 1 -1 0
133 Lapalisse 1 0 0 1 -1 0
134 SS Allinges 1 0 0 1 -1 0
135 Boé Bon Encontre 1 0 0 1 -1 0
136 ASPTT Dijon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
137 OCPAM 1 0 0 1 -1 0
138 Angoulême 1 0 0 1 -1 0
139 FC 2 Rives 82 1 0 0 1 -1 0
140 Bandrele 1 0 0 1 -1 0
141 Montmorillon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
142 Dominicaine 1 0 0 1 -1 0
143 Savigneux Montbrison 1 0 0 1 -2 0
144 Furiani-Agliani 1 0 0 1 -2 0
145 Orvault SF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
146 Dinan Léhon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
147 Lavaur 1 0 0 1 -2 0
148 Quetigny 1 0 0 1 -2 0
149 Trélissac 1 0 0 1 -2 0
150 Biars-Bretenoux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
151 Agde 1 0 0 1 -2 0
152 Challans 1 0 0 1 -2 0
153 Forbach 1 0 0 1 -2 0
154 Atlas Paillade 1 0 0 1 -2 0
155 Avion 1 0 0 1 -2 0
156 Plédran 1 0 0 1 -2 0
157 Longuenesse 1 0 0 1 -2 0
158 Pierrelatte 1 0 0 1 -2 0
159 Le Poinconnet 1 0 0 1 -2 0
160 SA Beaumont 1 0 0 1 -3 0
161 Porto Portugais Amiens 1 0 0 1 -3 0
162 Blagnac 1 0 0 1 -3 0
163 Auch 1 0 0 1 -3 0
164 Bayonne 1 0 0 1 -3 0
165 France Aizenay 1 0 0 1 -3 0
166 ASS Still Mutzig 1 0 0 1 -3 0
167 Olympique de Villefontaine 1 0 0 1 -3 0
168 Magenta 1 0 0 1 -3 0
169 Auby 1 0 0 1 -3 0
170 Les Bleuets 1 0 0 1 -3 0
171 Montreal-la-Cluse 1 0 0 1 -3 0
172 Premontre 1 0 0 1 -3 0
173 Saint-Amand 1 0 0 1 -3 0
174 Pirae 1 0 0 1 -4 0
175 Avenir Sportif de Gouzon 1 0 0 1 -4 0
176 Cambrai 1 0 0 1 -4 0
177 Saint-Renan 1 0 0 1 -4 0
178 Thionville Lusitanos 1 0 0 1 -4 0
179 GSA Tomblaine 1 0 0 1 -5 0
180 OS Aire-Sur-La-Lys 1 0 0 1 -5 0
181 US Chateau-Malo 1 0 0 1 -6 0
182 Le Cellier Mauves 1 0 0 1 -6 0
183 Camon 1 0 0 1 -7 0
184 Stade Quimperlois 1 0 0 1 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Espoir Ste Luce Pontivy GSI
26′
⚽ V. Gomis 0–1
45′
⚽ Y. Le Gal 0–2
Half-time 0–3
59′
⚽ Y. Le Gal 0–3
69′
⚽ V. Gomis 0–4
Full-time 0–4

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.