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Ekstraklasa

Referee: P Gryckiewicz

Korona Kielce

T S U T S

0–1

Full-time

Cracovia

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Korona Kielce Cracovia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 16/15 matches

Win Ø 39%

38%

40%

Points per game

1,4

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

38%

60%

Both score Ø 49%

44%

53%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,49 xG 1,24

53% Possession 47%

16 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 4

2 Offside 3

16 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Korona Kielce 6. · Cracovia 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gornik Zabrze	17	9	3	5	+8	-3.6	30
2	Jagiellonia	14	8	3	3	+9	-1.3	27
3	Wisla Plock	15	7	6	2	+9	+4.4	27
4	Radomiak Radom	17	7	4	6	+5	+1.5	25
5	Lech Poznan	15	6	6	3	+3	+9.9	24
6	Korona Kielce	16	6	5	5	+3	-1.8	23
7	Rakow	15	7	2	6	+0	+1.6	23
8	Cracovia	15	6	4	5	+3	+3.4	22
9	Lechia Gdansk	17	6	4	7	-3	-0.1	22
10	Zaglebie	15	5	6	4	+5	-2.4	21
11	Widzew Lodz	17	6	2	9	-1	+3.2	20
12	Pogon Szczecin	16	6	2	8	-2	+7.6	20
13	Motor Lublin	15	4	7	4	-4	+0.2	19
14	Legia	15	4	6	5	+1	+0.8	18
15	Arka Gdynia	16	5	3	8	-15	-6.6	18
16	GKS Katowice	15	5	2	8	-6	-7.6	17
17	Nieciecza	17	4	4	9	-12	-3.8	16
18	Piast Gliwice	15	3	5	7	-3	-5.5	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Radomiak Radom	9	6	2	1	+15	+5.4	20
2	Gornik Zabrze	9	6	1	2	+10	+2.1	19
3	Wisla Plock	8	6	1	1	+9	+6.2	19
4	Arka Gdynia	7	5	2	0	+6	-3.5	17
5	Zaglebie	7	4	3	0	+12	+2.6	15
6	Jagiellonia	7	5	0	2	+7	+0.6	15
7	Pogon Szczecin	8	5	0	3	+6	+7.6	15
8	Cracovia	8	4	3	1	+5	+5.0	15
9	Lechia Gdansk	8	4	2	2	+6	+2.4	14
10	Widzew Lodz	9	4	2	3	+3	+2.3	14
11	Legia	8	3	4	1	+5	+0.6	13
12	Korona Kielce	7	4	1	2	+4	+0.4	13
13	Lech Poznan	9	3	4	2	+1	+6.6	13
14	Motor Lublin	7	2	4	1	+1	+4.7	10
15	GKS Katowice	8	3	1	4	-2	-3.8	10
16	Rakow	7	2	2	3	-1	+1.4	8
17	Piast Gliwice	7	1	3	3	-2	-1.4	6
18	Nieciecza	8	1	2	5	-8	-1.9	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	8	5	0	3	+1	+0.2	15
2	Jagiellonia	7	3	3	1	+2	-1.9	12
3	Lech Poznan	6	3	2	1	+2	+3.3	11
4	Gornik Zabrze	8	3	2	3	-2	-5.8	11
5	Nieciecza	9	3	2	4	-4	-1.9	11
6	Korona Kielce	9	2	4	3	-1	-2.2	10
7	Motor Lublin	8	2	3	3	-5	-4.5	9
8	Wisla Plock	7	1	5	1	+0	-1.8	8
9	Piast Gliwice	8	2	2	4	-1	-4.1	8
10	Lechia Gdansk	9	2	2	5	-9	-2.5	8
11	Cracovia	7	2	1	4	-2	-1.6	7
12	GKS Katowice	7	2	1	4	-4	-3.7	7
13	Widzew Lodz	8	2	0	6	-4	+1.0	6
14	Zaglebie	8	1	3	4	-7	-5.0	6
15	Legia	7	1	2	4	-4	+0.3	5
16	Pogon Szczecin	8	1	2	5	-8	-0.0	5
17	Radomiak Radom	8	1	2	5	-10	-3.9	5
18	Arka Gdynia	9	0	1	8	-21	-3.0	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.