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Championship
Referee: Oliver Langford
2–3
Full-time
Preston
S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield Weds Preston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
0,5
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 24%
6%
41%
Points per game
0,5
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
59%
41%
Both score Ø 53%
47%
59%
Average goals
2,6
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
1,9
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,33 xG 0,94
57% Possession 43%
12 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sheffield Weds 24. · Preston 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Coventry 17 12 4 1 +30 +17.5 40
2 Stoke 18 9 3 6 +12 -0.4 30
3 Bristol City 18 8 5 5 +6 +1.5 29
4 Middlesbrough 16 8 5 3 +4 +2.7 29
5 Hull 18 8 4 6 +0 -11.1 28
6 Millwall 17 8 4 5 -4 +3.1 28
7 Ipswich 17 7 6 4 +11 +15.5 27
8 Preston 17 7 6 4 +5 -0.8 27
9 Derby 17 7 5 5 +1 -6.0 26
10 Birmingham 17 7 4 6 +6 +11.8 25
11 Wrexham 17 6 7 4 +3 -5.5 25
12 QPR 17 7 4 6 -4 +2.0 25
13 Watford 17 6 6 5 +2 +4.0 24
14 Leicester 18 6 6 6 -1 -3.4 24
15 Southampton 16 6 5 5 +4 +9.1 23
16 Charlton 17 6 5 6 -3 -6.6 23
17 West Brom 17 6 4 7 -3 -0.6 22
18 Blackburn 16 6 1 9 -5 +4.2 19
19 Sheffield United 18 6 1 11 -8 +3.8 19
20 Oxford 18 4 6 8 -5 -5.2 18
21 Swansea 17 4 5 8 -8 -7.6 17
22 Portsmouth 18 4 5 9 -10 -6.8 17
23 Norwich 17 2 4 11 -12 -7.6 10
24 Sheffield Weds 17 1 5 11 -21 -13.6 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sheffield Weds Preston
1–0 C. McNeill
H. Amass
3′
10′
B. Whiteman 1–1
J. Thompson
2–1 C. McNeill
L. Palmer
14′
34′
🟨 Odeluga Offiah
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 J. Lewis
↦ T. Small
46′
🔁 M. Smith
↦ J. Thompson
57′
L. Dobbin 2–2
J. Storey
58′
🔁 M. Frokjaer-Jensen
↦ D. Jebbison
62′
🔁 P. Valentin
Bailey Cadamarteri 🟨
70′
76′
M. Frokjaer-Jensen 2–3
L. Dobbin
N. Redmond 🔁
↦ G. Otegbayo
79′
L. Cooper 🔁
↦ S. Ingelsson
79′
82′
🔁 S. T. Thordarson
↦ L. Dobbin
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Sheffield Weds

3-1-4-2
24 E. Horvath G
7 Y. Valery D
22 G. Otegbayo D
2 L. Palmer D
8 S. Ingelsson M
4 S. Fusire M
17 C. McNeill M
9 J. Lowe M
12 H. Amass M
10 B. Bannan F
18 B. Cadamarteri F
Bench (9)
25 L. Stretch
11 I. Ugbo
15 N. Redmond
16 L. Cooper
27 R. Johnson
28 C. McGhee
32 J. Emery
33 Y. Alao
37 J. Thornton

Coach: Henrik Pedersen

Preston

3-5-2
1 D. Iversen G
14 J. Storey D
6 L. Lindsay D
16 A. Hughes D
42 O. Offiah M
21 A. Devine M
4 B. Whiteman M
15 J. Thompson M
26 T. Small M
17 L. Dobbin F
9 D. Jebbison F
Bench (9)
12 J. Walton
13 D. Cornell
2 P. Valentin
7 W. Keane
10 M. Frokjaer-Jensen
18 J. Lewis
22 S. T. Thordarson
24 M. Smith
35 N. Mawene

Coach: Paul Heckingbottom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,34
U
3,23
B ✓
2,21
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,12
U2,5
1,69
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Oliver Langford · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.