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Ekstraklasa

Referee: Piotr Rzucidlo

Rakow

S S S T U

2–1

Full-time

Lechia Gdansk

S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Lechia Gdansk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,2

3,0

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 11/12 matches

Win Ø 35%

36%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

36%

67%

Both score Ø 56%

45%

67%

Average goals

2,5

4,0

Scored

1,1

1,8

Conceded

1,4

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

43% Possession 57%

10 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 4

4 Offside 0

3 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rakow 14. · Lechia Gdansk 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	11	7	3	1	+10	+0.6	24
2	Gornik Zabrze	12	7	2	3	+9	-1.3	23
3	Cracovia	12	6	3	3	+7	+4.5	21
4	Wisla Plock	11	6	3	2	+7	+6.4	21
5	Korona Kielce	13	5	4	4	+4	-2.0	19
6	Lech Poznan	11	5	4	2	+2	+6.9	19
7	Zaglebie	12	4	5	3	+7	-1.0	17
8	Pogon Szczecin	13	5	2	6	-3	+5.4	17
9	Widzew Lodz	13	5	1	7	+0	+2.9	16
10	Legia	11	4	3	4	+2	+2.6	15
11	Radomiak Radom	12	4	3	5	+0	-0.8	15
12	Lechia Gdansk	12	4	3	5	-6	-3.0	15
13	Arka Gdynia	13	4	3	6	-11	-6.0	15
14	Rakow	11	4	2	5	-3	+0.8	14
15	Motor Lublin	12	3	5	4	-5	-2.5	14
16	GKS Katowice	13	4	2	7	-7	-7.0	14
17	Nieciecza	13	2	4	7	-8	-1.7	10
18	Piast Gliwice	11	1	4	6	-5	-4.8	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	7	5	1	1	+7	+5.3	16
2	Jagiellonia	6	5	0	1	+8	+0.6	15
3	Cracovia	6	4	2	0	+6	+4.2	14
4	Arka Gdynia	6	4	2	0	+4	-2.2	14
5	Radomiak Radom	6	4	1	1	+8	+1.5	13
6	Korona Kielce	6	4	1	1	+7	+1.3	13
7	Widzew Lodz	7	4	1	2	+5	+2.1	13
8	Zaglebie	6	3	3	0	+10	+1.9	12
9	Gornik Zabrze	6	4	0	2	+5	+1.7	12
10	Pogon Szczecin	6	4	0	2	+3	+4.5	12
11	Legia	5	3	2	0	+6	+2.3	11
12	GKS Katowice	7	3	1	3	+0	-3.1	10
13	Motor Lublin	6	2	3	1	+1	+2.1	9
14	Lech Poznan	7	2	3	2	-2	+5.0	9
15	Lechia Gdansk	5	2	2	1	+2	+1.1	8
16	Rakow	5	1	2	2	+0	+1.6	5
17	Piast Gliwice	5	1	2	2	+0	+0.1	5
18	Nieciecza	6	0	2	4	-7	-1.1	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gornik Zabrze	6	3	2	1	+4	-3.0	11
2	Lech Poznan	4	3	1	0	+4	+1.9	10
3	Jagiellonia	5	2	3	0	+2	–	9
4	Rakow	6	3	0	3	-3	-0.8	9
5	Nieciecza	7	2	2	3	-1	-0.6	8
6	Cracovia	6	2	1	3	+1	+0.3	7
7	Lechia Gdansk	7	2	1	4	-8	-4.2	7
8	Korona Kielce	7	1	3	3	-3	-3.4	6
9	Wisla Plock	4	1	2	1	+0	+1.1	5
10	Zaglebie	6	1	2	3	-3	-2.9	5
11	Pogon Szczecin	7	1	2	4	-6	+0.9	5
12	Motor Lublin	6	1	2	3	-6	-4.6	5
13	Legia	6	1	1	4	-4	+0.3	4
14	GKS Katowice	6	1	1	4	-7	-3.8	4
15	Widzew Lodz	6	1	0	5	-5	+0.8	3
16	Piast Gliwice	6	0	2	4	-5	-5.0	2
17	Radomiak Radom	6	0	2	4	-8	-2.3	2
18	Arka Gdynia	7	0	1	6	-15	-3.8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.