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Coupe de France
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Croix Football IC Le Geldar
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/3 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,5
3,7
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
2,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
This season — Coupe de France · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,0
4,0
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Croix Football IC 71. · Le Geldar 77.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Maur Lusitanos 2 2 0 0 +10 6
2 Nancy 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 Reims 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Grenoble 2 2 0 0 +4 6
5 Concarneau 2 2 0 0 +4 6
6 Montpellier 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 Sochaux 2 1 1 0 +6 4
8 Freyming 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Ancienne Château-Gontier 1 1 0 0 +9 3
10 Bastia 1 1 0 0 +6 3
11 Laval 1 1 0 0 +6 3
12 Olympique Marcquois 1 1 0 0 +5 3
13 Carnoux 1 1 0 0 +4 3
14 Chauvigny 1 1 0 0 +4 3
15 Feignies-Aulnoye 1 1 0 0 +4 3
16 Aubervilliers 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 MJEP Cormontreuil 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 Stade Briochin 2 1 0 1 +3 3
19 Bassin d'Arcachon Sud 1 1 0 0 +3 3
20 Canet Roussillon 1 1 0 0 +3 3
21 Racing Besançon 2 1 0 1 +3 3
22 Orleans 1 1 0 0 +3 3
23 Troyes 1 1 0 0 +3 3
24 Raon l'Etape 1 1 0 0 +3 3
25 Mulhouse 1 1 0 0 +3 3
26 Amiens 1 1 0 0 +3 3
27 Chalon 1 1 0 0 +3 3
28 Chantilly 1 1 0 0 +3 3
29 Dieppe 1 1 0 0 +3 3
30 Feurs 1 1 0 0 +2 3
31 Les Herbiers 1 1 0 0 +2 3
32 Granville 1 1 0 0 +2 3
33 Rodez 1 1 0 0 +2 3
34 St Etienne 1 1 0 0 +2 3
35 Pau FC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
36 Chateauroux 1 1 0 0 +2 3
37 Pontivy GSI 1 1 0 0 +2 3
38 Red Star 1 1 0 0 +2 3
39 Bourg-en-bresse 01 1 1 0 0 +2 3
40 Stade Plabennec 1 1 0 0 +2 3
41 Bondues 1 1 0 0 +2 3
42 Lyon Duchere 1 1 0 0 +2 3
43 Romorantin 1 1 0 0 +2 3
44 Sarreguemines 2 1 0 1 +1 3
45 Biesheim 1 1 0 0 +1 3
46 Gosier 1 1 0 0 +1 3
47 Bayeux 1 1 0 0 +1 3
48 Marmande 1 1 0 0 +1 3
49 Abbeville 1 1 0 0 +1 3
50 Reims Sainte-Anne 1 1 0 0 +1 3
51 Guingamp 1 1 0 0 +1 3
52 Yvetot 1 1 0 0 +1 3
53 Poitiers 1 1 0 0 +1 3
54 Istres 1 1 0 0 +1 3
55 Bordeaux 1 1 0 0 +1 3
56 Le Puy Foot 1 1 0 0 +1 3
57 Union Saint-Jean 1 1 0 0 +1 3
58 Mazeres 1 1 0 0 +1 3
59 Montreuil 1 1 0 0 +1 3
60 Beaucouzé 1 1 0 0 +1 3
61 Saint-Pauloise 1 1 0 0 +1 3
62 Annecy 2 1 0 1 +0 3
63 Montceau 2 1 0 1 -1 3
64 Torcy 2 1 0 1 -2 3
65 Nord Lozère 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Ecotay Moingt 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Boulogne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Dunkerque 1 0 1 0 +0 1
69 Oissel 1 0 1 0 +0 1
70 Quevilly Rouen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
71 Croix Football IC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
72 Racing Colombes 92 1 0 1 0 +0 1
73 APM Metz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
74 Fleury 91 1 0 1 0 +0 1
75 Pontarlier 1 0 1 0 +0 1
76 Etoile Matoury 1 0 1 0 +0 1
77 Le Geldar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
78 Wittenheim 1 0 1 0 +0 1
79 Andrézieux 1 0 1 0 +0 1
80 Hauts Lyonnais 1 0 1 0 +0 1
81 Vitré 1 0 1 0 +0 1
82 Plouvorn 1 0 1 0 +0 1
83 Loon-Plage 1 0 1 0 +0 1
84 Stade Béthunois 1 0 1 0 +0 1
85 Saint-Meziery 1 0 1 0 +0 1
86 Périgny 1 0 1 0 +0 1
87 Rhone-Vallee 1 0 1 0 +0 1
88 Grasse 1 0 1 0 +0 1
89 Villars-l'Isle 1 0 1 0 +0 1
90 Steenvoorde 1 0 1 0 +0 1
91 Chambly Thelle FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
92 Ivry 1 0 1 0 +0 1
93 Le Mans 1 0 1 0 +0 1
94 Etoile Bobigny 1 0 1 0 +0 1
95 Villeneuve-la-Garenne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
96 Saint-Brice Courcelles 1 0 1 0 +0 1
97 Pen Hir 1 0 1 0 +0 1
98 Les Sables-d'Olonne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
99 UF Touraine 1 0 1 0 +0 1
100 Épernay 1 0 1 0 +0 1
101 Blois 1 0 1 0 +0 1
102 Clermont 1 0 1 0 +0 1
103 Drancy 1 0 1 0 +0 1
104 Beauvais 1 0 1 0 +0 1
105 Avranches 1 0 1 0 +0 1
106 Gobelins 1 0 1 0 +0 1
107 SA Mérignac 1 0 1 0 +0 1
108 Colomiers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
109 Sablé 1 0 1 0 +0 1
110 Saint-Malo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
111 Vendée Fontenay 1 0 1 0 +0 1
112 Chamalières 1 0 1 0 +0 1
113 Saint-Cyr Collonges 1 0 1 0 +0 1
114 Thonon Évian 1 0 1 0 +0 1
115 Seyssinet-Pariset 1 0 1 0 +0 1
116 Aubagne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
117 Espoir Ste Luce 1 0 1 0 +0 1
118 Eveil 1 0 1 0 +0 1
119 Mauguio Carnon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
120 Selongey 1 0 1 0 +0 1
121 Bogny 2 0 1 1 -3 1
122 Sarre Union 2 0 1 1 -6 1
123 Strasbourg Koenigshoffen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
124 Moulien 1 0 0 1 -1 0
125 Caen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
126 Seignosse Capbreton 1 0 0 1 -1 0
127 ES Cappelle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
128 Gazelec FC Ajaccio 1 0 0 1 -1 0
129 Cannes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
130 Saint-Colomban Locminé 1 0 0 1 -1 0
131 L'Etrat La Tour 1 0 0 1 -1 0
132 Caen PTT 1 0 0 1 -1 0
133 Lapalisse 1 0 0 1 -1 0
134 SS Allinges 1 0 0 1 -1 0
135 Boé Bon Encontre 1 0 0 1 -1 0
136 ASPTT Dijon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
137 OCPAM 1 0 0 1 -1 0
138 Angoulême 1 0 0 1 -1 0
139 FC 2 Rives 82 1 0 0 1 -1 0
140 Bandrele 1 0 0 1 -1 0
141 Montmorillon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
142 Dominicaine 1 0 0 1 -1 0
143 Savigneux Montbrison 1 0 0 1 -2 0
144 Furiani-Agliani 1 0 0 1 -2 0
145 Orvault SF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
146 Dinan Léhon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
147 Lavaur 1 0 0 1 -2 0
148 Quetigny 1 0 0 1 -2 0
149 Trélissac 1 0 0 1 -2 0
150 Biars-Bretenoux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
151 Agde 1 0 0 1 -2 0
152 Challans 1 0 0 1 -2 0
153 Forbach 1 0 0 1 -2 0
154 Atlas Paillade 1 0 0 1 -2 0
155 Avion 1 0 0 1 -2 0
156 Plédran 1 0 0 1 -2 0
157 Longuenesse 1 0 0 1 -2 0
158 Pierrelatte 1 0 0 1 -2 0
159 Le Poinconnet 1 0 0 1 -2 0
160 SA Beaumont 1 0 0 1 -3 0
161 Porto Portugais Amiens 1 0 0 1 -3 0
162 Blagnac 1 0 0 1 -3 0
163 Auch 1 0 0 1 -3 0
164 Bayonne 1 0 0 1 -3 0
165 France Aizenay 1 0 0 1 -3 0
166 ASS Still Mutzig 1 0 0 1 -3 0
167 Olympique de Villefontaine 1 0 0 1 -3 0
168 Magenta 1 0 0 1 -3 0
169 Auby 1 0 0 1 -3 0
170 Les Bleuets 1 0 0 1 -3 0
171 Montreal-la-Cluse 1 0 0 1 -3 0
172 Premontre 1 0 0 1 -3 0
173 Saint-Amand 1 0 0 1 -3 0
174 Pirae 1 0 0 1 -4 0
175 Avenir Sportif de Gouzon 1 0 0 1 -4 0
176 Cambrai 1 0 0 1 -4 0
177 Saint-Renan 1 0 0 1 -4 0
178 Thionville Lusitanos 1 0 0 1 -4 0
179 GSA Tomblaine 1 0 0 1 -5 0
180 OS Aire-Sur-La-Lys 1 0 0 1 -5 0
181 US Chateau-Malo 1 0 0 1 -6 0
182 Le Cellier Mauves 1 0 0 1 -6 0
183 Camon 1 0 0 1 -7 0
184 Stade Quimperlois 1 0 0 1 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Croix Football IC Le Geldar
1–0 R. Habbas
20′
Half-time 1–1
73′
C. Souvenson 1–1
2–1 R. Habbas
84′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Croix Football IC

Coach: Jeremy Dos Santos

Le Geldar

Coach: R. Amalensi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.