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Puchar Polski
Arka Gdynia
S T S T S
1–2
Full-time
Gornik Zabrze
S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arka Gdynia Gornik Zabrze
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Puchar Polski · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
3,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Arka Gdynia 24. · Gornik Zabrze 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Polonia Bytom 3 3 0 0 +14 9
2 Chojniczanka Chojnice 3 3 0 0 +6 9
3 Avia Świdnik 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 2 2 0 0 +5 6
5 Korona Kielce 2 2 0 0 +4 6
6 GKS Katowice 2 2 0 0 +3 6
7 Lechia Gdansk 2 2 0 0 +3 6
8 Hutnik Kraków 3 2 0 1 +3 6
9 Piast Gliwice 2 2 0 0 +3 6
10 Slask Wroclaw 2 2 0 0 +2 6
11 Wisla 2 2 0 0 +2 6
12 Jastrzębie 2 1 1 0 +2 4
13 Widzew Lodz 2 1 1 0 +1 4
14 Olimpia Grudziądz 3 1 1 1 +1 4
15 Świt Skolwin 3 1 1 1 +0 4
16 Rakow 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 Gornik Zabrze 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 LKS Lodz 2 1 0 1 +1 3
19 Cracovia 2 1 0 1 +1 3
20 Legnica 2 1 0 1 +1 3
21 Jagiellonia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Zaglebie 2 1 0 1 +1 3
23 Lech Poznan 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Arka Gdynia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Stal Stalowa Wola 2 1 0 1 +0 3
26 Podbeskidzie 2 1 0 1 +0 3
27 Odra Opole 2 1 0 1 +0 3
28 Gryf Słupsk 2 1 0 1 +0 3
29 Warta Poznan 2 1 0 1 +0 3
30 Puszcza 2 1 0 1 -1 3
31 Znicz Pruszków 2 1 0 1 -2 3
32 Wikielec 2 1 0 1 -2 3
33 Goczałkowice Zdrój B 2 1 0 1 -5 3
34 Nieciecza 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 ŁKS Łódź II 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 Wieczysta Krakow 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Flota Świnoujście 2 0 1 1 -3 1
38 Stal Mielec 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Resovia Rzeszów 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Rekord Bielsko-Biała 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Małapanew 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Lechia T. Mazowiecki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Motor Lublin 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Olimpia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Stal Rzeszów 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Polonia Warszawa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Korona Kielce II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Odra Bytom Odrzański 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Chrobry Głogów 1 0 0 1 -2 0
52 Wisla Plock 1 0 0 1 -2 0
53 SKRA Częstochowa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
54 Polonia Środa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 Miedź Legnica II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 Ruch Chorzow 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 Radomiak Radom 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 Pogoń Siedlce 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Kalisz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 Tychy 71 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Łomża 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1 0 0 1 -3 0
63 Legia Warszawa II 1 0 0 1 -3 0
64 Beskid 1 0 0 1 -3 0
65 Górnik Łęczna 1 0 0 1 -4 0
66 Zagłębie Lubin II 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Arka Gdynia Gornik Zabrze
1–0 E. D. Espiau Hernandez
T. Gaprindashvili
1′
D. Gojny 🟨
17′
21′
🔁 K. Szczesniak
↦ R. Janicki
A. Sidibe 🟨
24′
33′
L. Ambros 1–1
O. Sow
Half-time 1–1
K. Jakubczyk 🔁
↦ P. Szysz
46′
S. Kerk 🔁
↦ A. Sidibe
46′
51′
🟨 P. Olkowski
56′
🟨 K. Szczesniak
N. Rusyn 🔁
↦ H. Vitalucci
63′
69′
🟨 O. Sow
70′
🔁 M. Pingot
↦ Josema
D. Kocyla 🔁
↦ T. Gaprindashvili
73′
S. Sobczak 🔁
↦ E. D. Espiau Hernandez
79′
82′
🟨 P. Hellebrand
88′
K. Szczesniak 1–2
92′
🟨 J. Kubicki
94′
🔁 L. Zahovic
↦ L. Ambros
94′
🔁 K. Lukoszek
↦ M. Khlan
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Arka Gdynia

1 J. Grobelny
2 M. Navarro
4 D. Zator
29 M. Marcjanik
94 D. Gojny
14 H. Vitalucci
10 A. Nguiamba
8 A. Sidibe
21 P. Szysz
99 E. D. Espiau Hernandez
9 T. Gaprindashvili
Bench (9)
77 D. Weglarz
33 D. Abramowicz
18 J. Celestine
6 L. Perea
35 K. Jakubczyk
37 S. Kerk
11 D. Kocyla
31 N. Rusyn
7 S. Sobczak

Coach: Dawid Szwarga

Gornik Zabrze

99 T. Loska
16 P. Olkowski
26 R. Janicki
20 Josema
64 E. Janza
18 L. Ambros
8 P. Hellebrand
14 J. Kubicki
30 O. Sow
23 S. Liseth
33 M. Khlan
Bench (9)
1 M. Lubik
5 K. Szczesniak
7 L. Zahovic
9 Gabriel Barbosa
10 L. Podolski
17 K. Lukoszek
28 B. Donio
55 M. Pingot
81 M. Kmet

Coach: Michal Gašparík

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.