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Ekstraklasa

Referee: Damian Sylwestrzak

Widzew Lodz

S U T T T

2–0

Full-time

Arka Gdynia

U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Widzew Lodz Arka Gdynia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,0

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 29%

29%

Points per game

1,0

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

57%

29%

Both score Ø 50%

57%

43%

Average goals

2,6

1,9

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

1,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%

14 Shots 13

8 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 0

5 Goalkeeper saves 5

1 Corners 2

1 Offside 3

4 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Widzew Lodz 15. · Arka Gdynia 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	7	5	1	1	+6	+6.2	16
2	Cracovia	7	4	2	1	+4	+2.5	14
3	Korona Kielce	8	4	2	2	+4	-2.1	14
4	Jagiellonia	6	4	1	1	+3	-2.5	13
5	Gornik Zabrze	7	4	0	3	+5	-0.2	12
6	Legia	6	3	1	2	+5	+3.6	10
7	Lech Poznan	6	3	1	2	-1	+6.0	10
8	Pogon Szczecin	8	3	1	4	-3	+2.0	10
9	Zaglebie	7	2	3	2	+3	-1.8	9
10	Nieciecza	8	2	3	3	+0	-0.2	9
11	Motor Lublin	7	2	3	2	-3	-1.0	9
12	Radomiak Radom	8	2	2	4	-2	-0.1	8
13	Arka Gdynia	7	2	2	3	-3	-3.8	8
14	Lechia Gdansk	8	2	2	4	-5	-2.9	8
15	Widzew Lodz	7	2	1	4	+0	+2.2	7
16	GKS Katowice	8	2	1	5	-7	-6.8	7
17	Rakow	5	2	0	3	-3	-0.3	6
18	Piast Gliwice	6	0	4	2	-3	-0.7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	4	4	0	0	+6	+5.2	12
2	Cracovia	4	3	1	0	+4	+2.6	10
3	Korona Kielce	4	3	0	1	+4	+0.0	9
4	Jagiellonia	4	3	0	1	+2	-2.5	9
5	Radomiak Radom	4	2	1	1	+5	+1.2	7
6	Legia	3	2	1	0	+5	+2.3	7
7	GKS Katowice	4	2	1	1	+3	-3.0	7
8	Widzew Lodz	4	2	1	1	+3	+1.1	7
9	Lechia Gdansk	4	2	1	1	+2	+1.3	7
10	Arka Gdynia	3	2	1	0	+2	-1.8	7
11	Lech Poznan	5	2	1	2	-2	+4.2	7
12	Pogon Szczecin	3	2	0	1	+2	+0.3	6
13	Gornik Zabrze	4	2	0	2	+2	+1.4	6
14	Zaglebie	3	1	2	0	+4	+1.2	5
15	Motor Lublin	3	1	2	0	+1	+0.9	5
16	Piast Gliwice	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.1	2
17	Nieciecza	3	0	1	2	-3	+0.3	1
18	Rakow	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nieciecza	5	2	2	1	+3	-0.5	8
2	Gornik Zabrze	3	2	0	1	+3	-1.7	6
3	Rakow	4	2	0	2	-2	+0.8	6
4	Korona Kielce	4	1	2	1	+0	-2.2	5
5	Jagiellonia	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
6	Cracovia	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.0	4
7	Wisla Plock	3	1	1	1	+0	+1.0	4
8	Zaglebie	4	1	1	2	-1	-3.0	4
9	Motor Lublin	4	1	1	2	-4	-1.9	4
10	Pogon Szczecin	5	1	1	3	-5	+1.6	4
11	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.8	3
12	Legia	3	1	0	2	+0	+1.2	3
13	Piast Gliwice	3	0	2	1	-2	-0.8	2
14	Arka Gdynia	4	0	1	3	-5	-2.0	1
15	Lechia Gdansk	4	0	1	3	-7	-4.2	1
16	Radomiak Radom	4	0	1	3	-7	-1.3	1
17	Widzew Lodz	3	0	0	3	-3	+1.1	0
18	GKS Katowice	4	0	0	4	-10	-3.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.