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Ekstraklasa
Referee: B Frankowski
Motor Lublin
T T T S S
1–0
Full-time
Arka Gdynia
S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motor Lublin Arka Gdynia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,83 xG 0,93
60% Possession 40%
17 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 8
3 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Motor Lublin Arka Gdynia
Half-time 0–0
R. Dadashov 🔁
↦ Kikis
46′
46′
🔁 M. Navarro
↦ D. Zator
1–0 M. Ndiaye ⚽
B. Wolski
50′
52′
🟨 Julien Celestine
56′
🟨 Alassane Sidibe
63′
🔁 K. Jakubczyk
↦ A. Nguiamba
63′
🔁 J. Oliveira
↦ D. Kocyla
63′
🔁 S. Sobczak
↦ H. Vitalucci
S. Samper 🔁
↦ J. Labojko
66′
B. van Hoeven 🔁
↦ M. Krol
66′
68′
🟨 Kamil Jakubczyk
70′
🔁 M. Predenkiewicz
↦ S. Kerk
Renat Dadaşov 🟨
71′
I. Rodrigues 🔁
↦ M. Scalet
75′
82′
🟨 Tornike Gaprindashvili
Krystian Palacz 🟨
92′
F. Haxha 🔁
↦ M. Ndiaye
94′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Motor Lublin

4-2-3-1
33 G. Tratnik G
17 F. Wojcik D
18 A. Najemski D
3 H. Matthys D
47 K. Palacz D
68 B. Wolski M
21 J. Labojko M
26 M. Krol M
8 M. Scalet M
30 M. Ndiaye M
22 Kikis F
Bench (12)
1 I. Brkic
2 P. Meyer
39 M. Bartos
42 B. Ede
24 F. Luberecki
28 P. Stolarski
6 S. Samper
7 I. Rodrigues
16 F. Lewandowski
19 B. van Hoeven
23 F. Haxha
77 R. Dadashov

Coach: Mateusz Stolarski

Arka Gdynia

4-3-3
77 D. Weglarz G
4 D. Zator D
29 M. Marcjanik D
18 J. Celestine D
33 D. Abramowicz D
37 S. Kerk M
10 A. Nguiamba M
8 A. Sidibe M
9 T. Gaprindashvili F
14 H. Vitalucci F
11 D. Kocyla F
Bench (10)
1 J. Grobelny
23 K. Hermoso
2 M. Navarro
32 P. Stolc
6 L. Perea
17 M. Predenkiewicz
35 K. Jakubczyk
27 J. Oliveira
22 Percan
7 S. Sobczak

Coach: Dawid Szwarga

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

B Frankowski · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.