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Ekstraklasa

Referee: M Szczerbowicz

GKS Katowice

T S U S T

2–2

Full-time

Zaglebie

T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

GKS Katowice Zaglebie

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

1,0

Scored

0,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,70 xG 2,54

56% Possession 44%

18 Shots 20

8 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 11

0 Goalkeeper saves 6

14 Corners 8

1 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match GKS Katowice 16. · Zaglebie 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Cracovia	2	2	0	0	+5	+0.6	6
2	Wisla Plock	2	2	0	0	+3	+4.1	6
3	Gornik Zabrze	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.1	6
4	Radomiak Radom	2	1	1	0	+4	-0.1	4
5	Nieciecza	2	1	0	1	+2	+0.7	3
6	Legia	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.2	3
7	Widzew Lodz	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.9	3
8	Rakow	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.1	3
9	Pogon Szczecin	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.4	3
10	Lech Poznan	2	1	0	1	-2	+1.9	3
11	Motor Lublin	2	1	0	1	-2	+0.6	3
12	Jagiellonia	2	1	0	1	-3	-2.4	3
13	Arka Gdynia	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.9	1
14	Piast Gliwice	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
15	Zaglebie	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
16	GKS Katowice	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.1	0
17	Lechia Gdansk	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.0	0
18	Korona Kielce	2	0	0	2	-4	-4.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	0	+4	-0.1	3
2	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.3	3
3	Cracovia	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
4	Wisla Plock	1	1	0	0	+2	+3.0	3
5	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
6	Widzew Lodz	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.1	3
7	Motor Lublin	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.9	3
8	Jagiellonia	2	1	0	1	-3	-2.4	3
9	Arka Gdynia	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.0	1
10	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.8	0
11	Rakow	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
12	Piast Gliwice	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
13	GKS Katowice	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.1	0
14	Korona Kielce	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.2	0
15	Lech Poznan	1	0	0	1	-3	+0.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Cracovia	1	1	0	0	+3	-0.1	3
2	Nieciecza	2	1	0	1	+2	+0.7	3
3	Legia	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.2	3
4	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.8	3
5	Wisla Plock	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
6	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.1	3
7	Rakow	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.1	3
8	Radomiak Radom	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.0	1
9	Widzew Lodz	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.0	0
10	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
11	Zaglebie	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
12	Arka Gdynia	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
13	Korona Kielce	1	0	0	1	-2	-3.0	0
14	Motor Lublin	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.3	0
15	Pogon Szczecin	1	0	0	1	-4	+0.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

9. Mar -25 GKS Katowice – Zaglebie 1–0 31. Aug -24 Zaglebie – GKS Katowice 1–0

Match report

GKS Katowice Zaglebie

15′

⚽ M. Regula 0–1

A. Radwanski

18′

🟨 Mateusz Wdowiak

43′

ℹ️ Marcel Regula

VAR: Penalty confirmed

45′

⚽ A. Radwanski 0–2

Half-time 1–2

1–2 B. Nowak ⚽

54′

60′

🔁 T. Makowski

↦ A. Radwanski

60′

🔁 J. Sypek

↦ M. Wdowiak

M. Wedrychowski 🔁

↦ A. Blad

62′

A. Buksa 🔁

↦ M. Rosolek

62′

70′

🔁 M. Kosidis

↦ M. Regula

Mateusz Kowalczyk 🟨

71′

K. Gruszkowski 🔁

↦ K. Lukasiak

76′

2–2 B. Nowak ⚽

A. Czerwinski

81′

J. Lukowski 🔁

↦ M. Wasielewski

89′

Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

GKS Katowice

3-4-3

1 D. Kudla G

A. Czerwinski D

A. Jedrych D

L. Klemenz D

M. Wasielewski M

K. Lukasiak M

M. Kowalczyk M

B. Galan M

11 A. Blad F

7 M. Rosolek F

B. Nowak F

Bench (12)

12 R. Straczek

2 M. Kuusk

3 A. Paluszek

10 M. Wedrychowski

13 B. Jaroszek

14 J. Lukowski

18 M. Swatowski

20 F. Rejczyk

21 A. Buksa

24 K. Gruszkowski

25 L. Trepka

28 A. Brod

Coach: Rafal Gorak

Zaglebie

4-2-3-1

D. Hladun G

27 B. Kludka D

M. Nalepa D

A. Lawniczak D

R. Yakuba D

F. Kocaba M

D. Dabrowski M

M. Wdowiak M

A. Radwanski M

K. Szmyt M

M. Regula F

Bench (12)

22 A. Matysek

4 D. Michalski

6 T. Makowski

7 M. Mroz

9 M. Kosidis

11 A. Wozniak

19 J. Sypek

20 M. Dziewiatowski

26 J. Kolan

35 L. Lucic

71 K. Nowogonski

99 C. Popielec

Coach: Leszek Ojrzynski

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

U ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5 ✓

–

🔒

U3,5

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

19. Jul EK 1 year ago

24. May EK 1 year ago

18. May EK 1 year ago

11. May EK 1 year ago

Referee

M Szczerbowicz · 34 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

4,0 / match

Average

⚽ Free kicks

25,6 / match

Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match stats

Recent head-to-head meetings

Match report

Line-ups

GKS Katowice

Zaglebie

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee