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Ekstraklasa
Referee: T Kwiatkowski
Rakow
T S T T S
0–1
Full-time
Cracovia
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Cracovia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,38 xG 0,02
59% Possession 41%
18 Shots 3
7 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rakow 6. · Cracovia 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Jagiellonia 2 2 0 0 +3 -1.0 6
2 Legia 2 2 0 0 +3 +1.9 6
3 Pogon Szczecin 2 1 1 0 +3 +2.0 4
4 Piast Gliwice 2 1 1 0 +2 +1.1 4
5 Widzew Lodz 2 1 1 0 +1 -1.0 4
6 Rakow 1 1 0 0 +2 +1.2 3
7 Lech Poznan 2 1 0 1 +1 +2.5 3
8 Radomiak Radom 2 1 0 1 +0 +2.9 3
9 Motor Lublin 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.1 3
10 GKS Katowice 2 1 0 1 +0 -1.4 3
11 Cracovia 1 0 1 0 +0 -1.1 1
12 Stal Mielec 2 0 1 1 -1 +0.4 1
13 Puszcza 2 0 1 1 -2 -0.5 1
14 Gornik Zabrze 2 0 1 1 -2 -1.9 1
15 Zaglebie 2 0 1 1 -2 -1.9 1
16 Lechia Gdansk 2 0 1 1 -2 -2.4 1
17 Slask Wroclaw 2 0 1 1 -2 +1.3 1
18 Korona Kielce 2 0 0 2 -4 -2.0 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rakow Cracovia
23′
🔁 J. Jugas
↦ A. Hoskonen
B. Lederman 🔁
↦ V. Kochergin
37′
43′
🟨 Amir Al-Ammari
Half-time 0–0
L. Lamprou 🔁
↦ Adriano Amorim
46′
48′
M. Maigaard 0–1
Amir Al Ammari
60′
🟨 Jakub Jugas
68′
🔁 J. Atanasov
↦ Amir Al Ammari
J. Braut Brunes 🔁
↦ P. Makuch
71′
E. Otieno 🔁
↦ M. Rodin
71′
Kamil Pestka 🟨
73′
Jean Carlos 🟨
77′
81′
🔁 M. Rakoczy
↦ P. Sokołowski
81′
🔁 M. Bochnak
↦ B. Källman
D. Drachal 🔁
↦ Jean Carlos
89′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Rakow

3-4-3
1 K. Trelowski G
25 B. Racovițan D
88 M. Rodin D
33 K. Pestka D
7 F. Tudor M
30 V. Kochergin M
5 G. Berggren M
20 Jean Carlos M
19 A. Crnac F
9 P. Makuch F
84 Adriano Amorim F
Bench (9)
8 B. Lederman
97 L. Lamprou
18 J. Braut Brunes
26 E. Otieno
21 D. Drachal
4 S. Svarnas
29 D. Ezeh
12 D. Kuciak
23 P. Baráth

Coach: M. Papszun

Cracovia

5-3-2
27 H. Ravas G
25 O. Kakabadze D
22 A. Hoskonen D
15 K. Glik D
5 V. Ghiță D
19 D. Ólafsson D
6 Amir Al Ammari M
88 P. Sokołowski M
11 M. Maigaard M
7 M. van Buren F
9 B. Källman F
Bench (9)
24 J. Jugas
8 J. Atanasov
10 M. Rakoczy
17 M. Bochnak
20 K. Knap
77 P. Janasik
18 F. Rózga
13 S. Madejski
16 B. Biedrzycki

Coach: D. Kroczek

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Kwiatkowski · 76 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.