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Ekstraklasa
Referee: K Jakubik
Zaglebie
S S U T T
0–3
Full-time
Lechia Gdansk
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaglebie Lechia Gdansk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
This season — Ekstraklasa · 13/12 matches
Win Ø 24%
31%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
38%
75%
Both score Ø 48%
46%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
0,9
0,8
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%
18 Shots 11
1 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 6
3 Offside 2
22 Free kicks against 6
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zaglebie 13. · Lechia Gdansk 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rakow 14 10 2 2 +15 32
2 Widzew Lodz 14 8 2 4 +9 26
3 Wisla Plock 14 7 4 3 +11 25
4 Legia 14 7 4 3 +1 25
5 Pogon Szczecin 14 6 5 3 +4 23
6 Stal Mielec 14 7 2 5 +1 23
7 Lech Poznan 13 6 4 3 +4 22
8 Radomiak Radom 14 6 2 6 -2 20
9 Cracovia 14 5 4 5 +4 19
10 Jagiellonia 14 4 6 4 +4 18
11 Warta Poznan 14 5 3 6 -1 18
12 Slask Wroclaw 14 4 5 5 -5 17
13 Zaglebie 13 4 5 4 -5 17
14 Gornik Zabrze 13 3 5 5 -4 14
15 Piast Gliwice 14 3 3 8 -4 12
16 Korona Kielce 14 3 3 8 -7 12
17 Lechia Gdansk 12 2 2 8 -14 8
18 Legnica 13 1 3 9 -11 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zaglebie Lechia Gdansk
-5′
🟨 Joel Abu Hanna
18′
Flávio Paixão 0–1
Conrado
F. Kocaba 🔁
↦ T. Makowski
20′
26′
🟨 David Stec
Half-time 0–1
R. Adamski 🔁
↦ M. Doležal
46′
Ł. Łakomy 🔁
↦ K. Hinokio
46′
Jarosław Jach 🟨
52′
T. Pieńko 🔁
↦ F. Starzyński
60′
62′
🔁 K. Sezonienko
↦ Conrado
67′
J. Kubicki 0–2
72′
🔁 L. Zwoliński
↦ J. Kałuziński
78′
M. Nalepa 0–3
Flávio Paixão
T. Gaprindashvili 🔁
↦ B. Kłudka
79′
80′
🔁 B. Diabaté
↦ Flávio Paixão
80′
🔁 K. Tobers
↦ J. Kubicki
Tomasz Pieńko 🟨
85′
Filip Kocaba 🟨
89′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Zaglebie

4-2-3-1
89 K. Bieszczad G
27 B. Kłudka D
2 B. Kopacz D
4 J. Jach D
8 G. Giorbelidze D
33 K. Hinokio M
6 T. Makowski M
26 K. Chodyna M
18 F. Starzyński M
39 D. Bohar M
15 M. Doležal F
Bench (9)
35 F. Kocaba
19 R. Adamski
99 Ł. Łakomy
21 T. Pieńko
9 T. Gaprindashvili
11 A. Woźniak
1 J. Burić
77 M. Bartolewski
5 A. Ławniczak

Coach: P. Stokowiec

Lechia Gdansk

4-2-3-1
12 D. Kuciak G
29 D. Stec D
25 M. Nalepa D
23 M. Maloča D
2 R. Pietrzak D
7 M. Gajos M
6 J. Kubicki M
99 İ. Durmuş M
88 J. Kałuziński M
20 Conrado M
28 Flávio Paixão F
Bench (9)
79 K. Sezonienko
9 L. Zwoliński
10 B. Diabaté
4 K. Tobers
3 H. Castegren
33 M. Terrazzino
1 M. Buchalik
11 D. Piła
97 J. Abu Hanna

Coach: M. Kaczmarek

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Jakubik · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.