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Ekstraklasa
Rakow
S T S U T
2–1
Full-time
Jagiellonia
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Jagiellonia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — Ekstraklasa · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 41%
38%
44%
Points per game
1,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
56%
50%
Both score Ø 57%
50%
63%
Average goals
2,6
2,9
Scored
1,1
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Rakow 11. · Jagiellonia 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Slask Wroclaw 17 9 6 2 +11 33
2 Legia 17 10 2 5 +16 32
3 Pogon Szczecin 17 9 5 3 +7 32
4 Cracovia 16 9 3 4 +10 30
5 Piast Gliwice 17 8 4 5 +2 28
6 Wisla Plock 17 8 3 6 -4 27
7 Lech Poznan 17 7 5 5 +11 26
8 Jagiellonia 16 7 5 4 +7 26
9 Lechia Gdansk 16 6 6 4 +4 24
10 Zaglebie 17 6 4 7 +2 22
11 Rakow 16 6 1 9 -7 19
12 Gornik Zabrze 17 3 8 6 -7 17
13 Korona Kielce 17 4 3 10 -13 15
14 Arka Gdynia 17 3 5 9 -13 14
15 LKS Lodz 16 3 2 11 -13 11
16 Wisla 16 3 2 11 -13 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Jul -19 Jagiellonia – Rakow 0–1

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.