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Ekstraklasa

Rakow

T S T S T

5–0

Full-time

Jagiellonia

U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Jagiellonia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,2

3,5

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

This season — Ekstraklasa · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

72%

56%

Both score Ø 62%

56%

67%

Average goals

2,9

2,8

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Rakow 4. · Jagiellonia 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	18	11	5	2	+23	38
2	Pogon Szczecin	19	10	7	2	+19	37
3	Lechia Gdansk	19	9	6	4	+10	33
4	Rakow	18	9	5	4	+9	32
5	Radomiak Radom	18	8	8	2	+9	32
6	Wisla Plock	19	9	2	8	+3	29
7	Gornik Zabrze	18	8	4	6	+2	28
8	Stal Mielec	19	7	7	5	+0	28
9	Cracovia	19	7	5	7	-1	26
10	Slask Wroclaw	19	6	6	7	+0	24
11	Jagiellonia	18	6	6	6	-2	24
12	Piast Gliwice	19	6	5	8	+0	23
13	Wisla	19	6	3	10	-9	21
14	Zaglebie	18	6	2	10	-15	20
15	Warta Poznan	19	3	7	9	-10	16
16	Legia	17	5	0	12	-8	15
17	Leczna	18	3	6	9	-18	15
18	Nieciecza	18	2	6	10	-12	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	10	8	2	0	+14	26
2	Lech Poznan	9	7	2	0	+19	23
3	Pogon Szczecin	9	7	2	0	+17	23
4	Lechia Gdansk	9	6	2	1	+9	20
5	Stal Mielec	10	6	2	2	+3	20
6	Radomiak Radom	9	5	4	0	+7	19
7	Gornik Zabrze	10	5	2	3	+3	17
8	Jagiellonia	10	4	4	2	+4	16
9	Rakow	8	4	3	1	+8	15
10	Piast Gliwice	10	4	2	4	+1	14
11	Cracovia	9	4	2	3	+1	14
12	Slask Wroclaw	9	3	4	2	+1	13
13	Zaglebie	9	4	1	4	+0	13
14	Wisla	9	4	1	4	+0	13
15	Legia	8	4	0	4	+2	12
16	Nieciecza	9	2	3	4	-4	9
17	Warta Poznan	10	1	5	4	-6	8
18	Leczna	9	1	4	4	-10	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	10	5	2	3	+1	17
2	Lech Poznan	9	4	3	2	+4	15
3	Pogon Szczecin	10	3	5	2	+2	14
4	Radomiak Radom	9	3	4	2	+2	13
5	Lechia Gdansk	10	3	4	3	+1	13
6	Cracovia	10	3	3	4	-2	12
7	Slask Wroclaw	10	3	2	5	-1	11
8	Gornik Zabrze	8	3	2	3	-1	11
9	Piast Gliwice	9	2	3	4	-1	9
10	Stal Mielec	9	1	5	3	-3	8
11	Warta Poznan	9	2	2	5	-4	8
12	Jagiellonia	8	2	2	4	-6	8
13	Leczna	9	2	2	5	-8	8
14	Wisla	10	2	2	6	-9	8
15	Zaglebie	9	2	1	6	-15	7
16	Nieciecza	9	0	3	6	-8	3
17	Legia	9	1	0	8	-10	3
18	Wisla Plock	9	1	0	8	-11	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.