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Ekstraklasa
Rakow
S U U S T
3–2
Full-time
Jagiellonia
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Jagiellonia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
4,3
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,0
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,7
This season — Ekstraklasa · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 50%
58%
42%
Points per game
2,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
75%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,1
3,3
Scored
2,0
1,6
Conceded
1,1
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Rakow 2. · Jagiellonia 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Legia 13 9 2 2 +9 29
2 Rakow 12 7 3 2 +11 24
3 Gornik Zabrze 13 7 2 4 +5 23
4 Pogon Szczecin 12 6 4 2 +7 22
5 Zaglebie 13 6 4 3 +4 22
6 Cracovia 13 5 6 2 +4 21
7 Slask Wroclaw 13 6 2 5 +5 20
8 Lech Poznan 12 4 5 3 +6 17
9 Jagiellonia 12 5 2 5 -2 17
10 Lechia Gdansk 12 5 1 6 -1 16
11 Piast Gliwice 13 3 4 6 -1 13
12 Warta Poznan 13 4 1 8 -5 13
13 Wisla 13 2 5 6 -1 11
14 Wisla Plock 12 2 4 6 -7 10
15 Stal Mielec 13 2 4 7 -12 10
16 Podbeskidzie 13 2 3 8 -22 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.