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Ekstraklasa

Jagiellonia

U T S U S

1–0

Full-time

Nieciecza

U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Nieciecza

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

This season — Ekstraklasa · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

0,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Jagiellonia 4. · Nieciecza 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Warta Poznan	3	1	2	0	+4	5
3	Wisla	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Jagiellonia	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Radomiak Radom	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Pogon Szczecin	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Slask Wroclaw	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Lechia Gdansk	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Piast Gliwice	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Zaglebie	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Legia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Rakow	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Nieciecza	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Stal Mielec	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Cracovia	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Leczna	3	0	1	2	-6	1
17	Wisla Plock	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Gornik Zabrze	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	2	1	1	0	+3	4
2	Lech Poznan	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Wisla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Zaglebie	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Lechia Gdansk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Legia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Nieciecza	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Warta Poznan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Leczna	2	0	1	1	-4	1
13	Piast Gliwice	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Cracovia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Gornik Zabrze	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Stal Mielec	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Warta Poznan	2	1	1	0	+4	4
2	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Piast Gliwice	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Slask Wroclaw	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Rakow	2	1	0	1	-2	3
6	Wisla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Pogon Szczecin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Stal Mielec	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Radomiak Radom	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Cracovia	2	0	1	1	-2	1
12	Leczna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Legia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Wisla Plock	2	0	0	2	-2	0
15	Gornik Zabrze	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Zaglebie	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.