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Ekstraklasa

Jagiellonia

T S T S U

3–3

Full-time

Stal Mielec

T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Stal Mielec

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,7

This season — Ekstraklasa · 25/24 matches

Win Ø 27%

36%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 51%

52%

50%

Both score Ø 57%

56%

58%

Average goals

2,9

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,6

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Jagiellonia 11. · Stal Mielec 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Legia	25	16	5	4	+21	53
2	Pogon Szczecin	26	15	5	6	+16	50
3	Rakow	25	13	7	5	+15	46
4	Piast Gliwice	25	10	8	7	+8	38
5	Slask Wroclaw	26	10	8	8	+5	38
6	Lechia Gdansk	26	11	5	10	+3	38
7	Warta Poznan	26	11	3	12	-1	36
8	Zaglebie	25	10	5	10	-1	35
9	Lech Poznan	26	8	9	9	+2	33
10	Gornik Zabrze	26	9	6	11	-1	33
11	Jagiellonia	25	9	5	11	-6	32
12	Cracovia	25	6	11	8	-5	29
13	Wisla	25	7	7	11	+0	28
14	Wisla Plock	25	6	8	11	-10	26
15	Podbeskidzie	26	5	6	15	-29	21
16	Stal Mielec	24	4	8	12	-17	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pogon Szczecin	13	8	4	1	+11	28
2	Legia	13	8	2	3	+9	26
3	Slask Wroclaw	13	7	5	1	+8	26
4	Rakow	13	7	3	3	+7	24
5	Zaglebie	12	6	3	3	+2	21
6	Lechia Gdansk	13	6	2	5	+6	20
7	Jagiellonia	12	5	3	4	+3	18
8	Lech Poznan	13	4	6	3	+3	18
9	Piast Gliwice	12	5	3	4	+3	18
10	Gornik Zabrze	13	5	3	5	+2	18
11	Podbeskidzie	13	5	3	5	-7	18
12	Cracovia	12	4	5	3	-1	17
13	Warta Poznan	13	5	2	6	-2	17
14	Wisla Plock	13	3	4	6	-3	13
15	Wisla	13	4	1	8	-4	13
16	Stal Mielec	12	3	4	5	-8	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Legia	12	8	3	1	+12	27
2	Rakow	12	6	4	2	+8	22
3	Pogon Szczecin	13	7	1	5	+5	22
4	Piast Gliwice	13	5	5	3	+5	20
5	Warta Poznan	13	6	1	6	+1	19
6	Lechia Gdansk	13	5	3	5	-3	18
7	Wisla	12	3	6	3	+4	15
8	Lech Poznan	13	4	3	6	-1	15
9	Gornik Zabrze	13	4	3	6	-3	15
10	Zaglebie	13	4	2	7	-3	14
11	Jagiellonia	13	4	2	7	-9	14
12	Wisla Plock	12	3	4	5	-7	13
13	Slask Wroclaw	13	3	3	7	-3	12
14	Cracovia	13	2	6	5	-4	12
15	Stal Mielec	12	1	4	7	-9	7
16	Podbeskidzie	13	0	3	10	-22	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.