Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Stal Mielec
Wisla
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lech Poznan
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 10 |
| 2 |
Jagiellonia
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 |
| 3 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 7 |
| 4 |
Rakow
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 |
Warta Poznan
|
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +4 | 5 |
| 6 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 5 |
| 7 |
Lechia Gdansk
|
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 5 |
| 8 |
Wisla
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 |
| 9 |
Radomiak Radom
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 10 |
Piast Gliwice
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +0 | 3 |
| 11 |
Zaglebie
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Legia
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Wisla Plock
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 |
Nieciecza
|
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 2 |
| 16 |
Cracovia
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 17 |
Stal Mielec
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 | Leczna | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | 1 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Gornik Zabrze
Stal Mielec
Stal Mielec
Piast Gliwice
Nieciecza
Stal Mielec
Slask Wroclaw
Stal Mielec
Stal Mielec
Legia
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.