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Ekstraklasa
Jagiellonia
U S T S U
1–2
Full-time
Lechia Gdansk
U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Lechia Gdansk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
This season — Ekstraklasa · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 41%
41%
41%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
53%
50%
Both score Ø 52%
47%
56%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Jagiellonia 7. · Lechia Gdansk 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Legia 33 20 5 8 +35 65
2 Piast Gliwice 33 16 6 11 +7 54
3 Lech Poznan 32 14 11 7 +28 53
4 Slask Wroclaw 32 14 10 8 +8 52
5 Rakow 33 15 5 13 -1 50
6 Lechia Gdansk 32 13 10 9 +0 49
7 Jagiellonia 32 13 9 10 +3 48
8 Gornik Zabrze 33 12 11 10 +3 47
9 Cracovia 32 14 4 14 +8 46
10 Pogon Szczecin 32 12 10 10 -3 46
11 Zaglebie 33 12 8 13 +4 44
12 Wisla Plock 33 11 9 13 -12 42
13 Wisla 33 12 5 16 -10 41
14 Arka Gdynia 33 8 9 16 -19 33
15 Korona Kielce 33 8 6 19 -19 30
16 LKS Lodz 33 5 6 22 -32 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.