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Ekstraklasa

Korona Kielce

T U T T T

0–2

Full-time

Jagiellonia

T U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Korona Kielce Jagiellonia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,8

3,2

Scored

0,5

2,0

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,8

This season — Ekstraklasa · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,8

3,2

Scored

0,5

2,0

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Korona Kielce 15. · Jagiellonia 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	6	4	2	0	+5	14
2	Pogon Szczecin	6	4	1	1	+4	13
3	Jagiellonia	6	3	2	1	+5	11
4	Lech Poznan	6	3	2	1	+4	11
5	Piast Gliwice	6	3	2	1	+4	11
6	Cracovia	6	3	1	2	+3	10
7	Legia	5	3	1	1	+2	10
8	Gornik Zabrze	7	3	1	3	+1	10
9	Wisla	6	2	1	3	+2	7
10	Lechia Gdansk	6	1	4	1	+0	7
11	Rakow	6	2	0	4	-3	6
12	Zaglebie	6	1	2	3	-3	5
13	Arka Gdynia	7	1	2	4	-8	5
14	Wisla Plock	5	1	1	3	-5	4
15	Korona Kielce	6	1	1	4	-5	4
16	LKS Lodz	6	1	1	4	-6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Gornik Zabrze	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Wisla	3	2	0	1	+4	6
3	Jagiellonia	3	2	0	1	+2	6
4	Cracovia	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Slask Wroclaw	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Pogon Szczecin	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Piast Gliwice	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Zaglebie	4	1	2	1	-1	5
9	Arka Gdynia	4	1	2	1	-2	5
10	Legia	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Lech Poznan	2	1	0	1	+2	3
12	Lechia Gdansk	3	0	3	0	+0	3
13	Rakow	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	Wisla Plock	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	LKS Lodz	4	0	1	3	-3	1
16	Korona Kielce	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	4	2	2	0	+3	8
2	Lech Poznan	4	2	2	0	+2	8
3	Pogon Szczecin	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Piast Gliwice	3	2	0	1	+3	6
5	Legia	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Jagiellonia	3	1	2	0	+3	5
7	Cracovia	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Lechia Gdansk	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Korona Kielce	4	1	1	2	-3	4
10	Rakow	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	LKS Lodz	2	1	0	1	-3	3
12	Wisla Plock	3	1	0	2	-4	3
13	Wisla	3	0	1	2	-2	1
14	Gornik Zabrze	4	0	1	3	-4	1
15	Zaglebie	2	0	0	2	-2	0
16	Arka Gdynia	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.