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Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce
T S U S T
0–1
Full-time
Arka Gdynia
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Korona Kielce Arka Gdynia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,2
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
This season — Ekstraklasa · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 21%
24%
18%
Points per game
0,9
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
29%
35%
Both score Ø 33%
24%
41%
Average goals
1,9
2,3
Scored
0,6
0,8
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Korona Kielce 13. · Arka Gdynia 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Slask Wroclaw 17 9 6 2 +11 33
2 Legia 17 10 2 5 +16 32
3 Pogon Szczecin 17 9 5 3 +7 32
4 Cracovia 17 9 3 5 +9 30
5 Piast Gliwice 17 8 4 5 +2 28
6 Lechia Gdansk 17 7 6 4 +5 27
7 Wisla Plock 17 8 3 6 -4 27
8 Lech Poznan 17 7 5 5 +11 26
9 Jagiellonia 17 7 5 5 +6 26
10 Zaglebie 17 6 4 7 +2 22
11 Rakow 17 7 1 9 -6 22
12 Gornik Zabrze 17 3 8 6 -7 17
13 Korona Kielce 17 4 3 10 -13 15
14 LKS Lodz 17 4 2 11 -12 14
15 Arka Gdynia 17 3 5 9 -13 14
16 Wisla 17 3 2 12 -14 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.