Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Wisla
Jagiellonia
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Cracovia
|
21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | +14 | 39 |
| 2 |
Legia
|
20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | +20 | 38 |
| 3 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | +6 | 35 |
| 4 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | +6 | 35 |
| 5 |
Lech Poznan
|
21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | +16 | 34 |
| 6 |
Lechia Gdansk
|
21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 31 |
| 7 |
Piast Gliwice
|
20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | +1 | 31 |
| 8 |
Wisla Plock
|
20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | -7 | 30 |
| 9 |
Jagiellonia
|
20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | +5 | 29 |
| 10 |
Zaglebie
|
20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | +3 | 28 |
| 11 |
Rakow
|
21 | 9 | 1 | 11 | -8 | 28 |
| 12 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | -3 | 24 |
| 13 |
Korona Kielce
|
21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | -12 | 22 |
| 14 |
Arka Gdynia
|
21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | -12 | 21 |
| 15 |
Wisla
|
20 | 5 | 2 | 13 | -13 | 17 |
| 16 |
LKS Lodz
|
20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | -17 | 14 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
LKS Lodz
Wisla
Wisla
Pogon Szczecin
Gornik Zabrze
Wisla
Wisla
Lechia Gdansk
Slask Wroclaw
Wisla
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.