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Allsvenskan

Referee: V Wolf

GAIS

S S U U S

0–0

Full-time

Malmo FF

T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

GAIS Malmo FF

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,3

2,5

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

68%

Points per game

1,6

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

55%

68%

Both score Ø 45%

45%

Average goals

2,5

3,3

Scored

1,3

2,4

Conceded

1,2

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,67 xG 0,86

39% Possession 61%

10 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 4

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 5

3 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match GAIS 6. · Malmo FF 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	22	15	4	3	+34	+20.8	49
2	Hammarby	22	12	4	6	+17	+3.7	40
3	Djurgarden	21	12	3	6	+11	+1.2	39
4	Mjallby	22	11	4	7	+6	+1.1	37
5	Elfsborg	22	11	3	8	+11	+5.6	36
6	GAIS	22	11	3	8	+1	-3.9	36
7	AIK	22	11	3	8	-1	+2.3	36
8	Sirius	22	10	4	8	+5	+1.2	34
9	Hacken	21	9	6	6	+7	-2.6	33
10	Brommapojkarna	22	6	8	8	-6	-0.8	26
11	Norrkoping	22	7	4	11	-17	-5.4	25
12	Goteborg	22	5	7	10	-11	-5.9	22
13	Kalmar	22	6	3	13	-16	-7.4	21
14	Halmstad	22	7	0	15	-17	-6.9	21
15	Varnamo	22	5	5	12	-12	-8.1	20
16	Vasteras SK	22	5	3	14	-12	+5.3	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	10	9	0	1	+23	+8.3	27
2	Elfsborg	11	8	1	2	+17	+5.3	25
3	Mjallby	11	7	3	1	+10	+2.6	24
4	GAIS	11	7	2	2	+7	+0.5	23
5	AIK	11	7	1	3	+10	+3.0	22
6	Hammarby	11	6	3	2	+11	+0.7	21
7	Hacken	11	5	3	3	+7	-2.0	18
8	Djurgarden	11	5	3	3	+2	-1.5	18
9	Sirius	11	5	2	4	+6	+3.2	17
10	Norrkoping	11	5	1	5	-5	-2.5	16
11	Halmstad	11	5	0	6	+2	-1.2	15
12	Kalmar	11	3	2	6	-5	-1.5	11
13	Vasteras SK	12	3	1	8	-7	+3.7	10
14	Goteborg	11	2	4	5	-7	-4.4	10
15	Brommapojkarna	10	2	4	4	-8	-0.8	10
16	Varnamo	11	1	2	8	-14	-3.8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	12	6	4	2	+11	+12.5	22
2	Djurgarden	10	7	0	3	+9	+2.7	21
3	Hammarby	11	6	1	4	+6	+3.0	19
4	Sirius	11	5	2	4	-1	-2.0	17
5	Brommapojkarna	12	4	4	4	+2	+0.0	16
6	Varnamo	11	4	3	4	+2	-4.4	15
7	Hacken	10	4	3	3	+0	-0.5	15
8	AIK	11	4	2	5	-11	-0.7	14
9	Mjallby	11	4	1	6	-4	-1.6	13
10	GAIS	11	4	1	6	-6	-4.5	13
11	Goteborg	11	3	3	5	-4	-1.5	12
12	Elfsborg	11	3	2	6	-6	+0.3	11
13	Kalmar	11	3	1	7	-11	-6.0	10
14	Norrkoping	11	2	3	6	-12	-2.9	9
15	Vasteras SK	10	2	2	6	-5	+1.6	8
16	Halmstad	11	2	0	9	-19	-5.7	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.