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Allsvenskan
Referee: Victor Wolf
Malmo FF
S S S T U
3–1
Full-time
GAIS
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF GAIS
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,8
Scored
1,5
2,3
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
2,0
1,0
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

46% Possession 54%
12 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Malmo FF 11. · GAIS 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Djurgarden 2 2 0 0 +2 6
2 Hacken 2 1 1 0 +2 +0.8 4
3 Elfsborg 2 1 1 0 +2 +2.3 4
4 Orgryte 2 1 1 0 +2 -0.7 4
5 Vasteras SK 2 1 1 0 +1 -0.9 4
6 Hammarby 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Sirius 1 1 0 0 +3 +1.8 3
8 AIK 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Degerfors 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.4 3
10 Brommapojkarna 1 0 1 0 +0 -1.3 1
11 Malmo FF 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 GAIS 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Kalmar 2 0 0 2 -2 0
14 Halmstad 2 0 0 2 -4 -1.4 0
15 Goteborg 2 0 0 2 -4 -0.9 0
16 Mjallby 2 0 0 2 -5 +0.7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Malmo FF GAIS
10′
🟨 Mohamed Bawa
1–0 P. Jansson
J. Stryger
21′
2–0 O. Sjostrand
37′
3–0 O. Rosengren
C. Rosler
42′
Taha Ali 🟨
45′
45′
🟨 William Milovanovic
Half-time 3–0
58′
🔁 R. Thorkelsson
↦ M. Bawa
59′
🔁 A. Wangberg
↦ A. Cardaklija
59′
🔁 R. Wendin Thomasson
↦ M. de Brienne
67′
🟨 Joackim Fagerjord
J. Karlsson 🔁
↦ J. Stryger
68′
A. Skogmar 🔁
↦ O. Sjostrand
68′
71′
🔁 S. Ekong
↦ S. Salter
A. Sigurdsson 🔁
↦ S. Haksabanovic
74′
K. Busuladzic 🔁
↦ T. Lundbergh
74′
80′
🔁 B. Asumang
↦ O. Pettersson
A. Djuric 🔁
↦ C. Rosler
85′
87′
S. Ekong 3–1
W. Milovanovic
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Malmo FF

4-4-2
1 R. Olsen G
17 J. Stryger D
18 P. Jansson D
19 C. Rosler D
25 Busanello D
22 T. Ali M
7 O. Rosengren M
47 T. Lundbergh M
24 O. Sjostrand M
29 S. Haksabanovic F
20 E. Botheim F
Bench (9)
27 J. Dahlin
8 A. Sigurdsson
5 A. Djuric
40 K. Busuladzic
45 A. Hoog
2 J. Karlsson
23 N. John
32 D. T. Gudjohnsen
37 A. Skogmar

Coach: Miguel Ramirez

GAIS

4-3-3
13 K. Sims G
12 R. Frej D
22 A. Cardaklija D
4 O. Agren D
2 M. de Brienne D
8 W. Milovanovic M
7 J. Fagerjord M
27 M. Bawa M
32 O. Pettersson F
20 S. Salter F
11 R. Niklasson F
Bench (9)
33 A. Hermansen
25 J. Lindberg
6 A. Wangberg
10 H. Sletsjoe
17 R. Thorkelsson
21 S. Ekong
26 B. Asumang
29 D. Bengtsson
5 R. Wendin Thomasson

Coach: Fredrik Holmberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Victor Wolf · 35 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,03 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.