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Allsvenskan

Referee: G Nyberg

GAIS

S U U S U

3–0

Full-time

Djurgarden

S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

GAIS Djurgarden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

2,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,0

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 23/22 matches

Win Ø 54%

48%

59%

Points per game

1,6

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

52%

45%

Both score Ø 42%

43%

41%

Average goals

2,4

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,6

Conceded

1,2

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,20 xG 1,28

45% Possession 55%

17 Shots 12

8 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 6

3 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match GAIS 7. · Djurgarden 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	23	15	5	3	+34	+21.0	50
2	Djurgarden	22	13	3	6	+12	+1.0	42
3	Hammarby	22	12	4	6	+17	+3.7	40
4	AIK	23	12	3	8	+0	+2.1	39
5	Mjallby	23	11	5	7	+6	+1.3	38
6	Elfsborg	23	11	4	8	+11	+5.3	37
7	GAIS	23	11	4	8	+1	-4.1	37
8	Sirius	22	10	4	8	+5	+1.2	34
9	Hacken	22	9	6	7	+6	-2.4	33
10	Brommapojkarna	23	6	9	8	-6	-1.0	27
11	Norrkoping	23	7	5	11	-17	-5.0	26
12	Goteborg	22	5	7	10	-11	-5.9	22
13	Kalmar	23	6	3	14	-17	-7.3	21
14	Halmstad	22	7	0	15	-17	-6.9	21
15	Varnamo	22	5	5	12	-12	-8.1	20
16	Vasteras SK	22	5	3	14	-12	+5.3	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	10	9	0	1	+23	+8.3	27
2	Elfsborg	12	8	2	2	+17	+5.0	26
3	Mjallby	11	7	3	1	+10	+2.6	24
4	GAIS	12	7	3	2	+7	+0.3	24
5	AIK	11	7	1	3	+10	+3.0	22
6	Hammarby	11	6	3	2	+11	+0.7	21
7	Hacken	12	5	3	4	+6	-1.9	18
8	Djurgarden	11	5	3	3	+2	-1.5	18
9	Sirius	11	5	2	4	+6	+3.2	17
10	Norrkoping	11	5	1	5	-5	-2.5	16
11	Halmstad	11	5	0	6	+2	-1.2	15
12	Kalmar	12	3	2	7	-6	-1.3	11
13	Brommapojkarna	11	2	5	4	-8	-1.1	11
14	Vasteras SK	12	3	1	8	-7	+3.7	10
15	Goteborg	11	2	4	5	-7	-4.4	10
16	Varnamo	11	1	2	8	-14	-3.8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Djurgarden	11	8	0	3	+10	+2.6	24
2	Malmo FF	13	6	5	2	+11	+12.7	23
3	Hammarby	11	6	1	4	+6	+3.0	19
4	Sirius	11	5	2	4	-1	-2.0	17
5	AIK	12	5	2	5	-10	-0.9	17
6	Brommapojkarna	12	4	4	4	+2	+0.0	16
7	Varnamo	11	4	3	4	+2	-4.4	15
8	Hacken	10	4	3	3	+0	-0.5	15
9	Mjallby	12	4	2	6	-4	-1.3	14
10	GAIS	11	4	1	6	-6	-4.5	13
11	Goteborg	11	3	3	5	-4	-1.5	12
12	Elfsborg	11	3	2	6	-6	+0.3	11
13	Kalmar	11	3	1	7	-11	-6.0	10
14	Norrkoping	12	2	4	6	-12	-2.5	10
15	Vasteras SK	10	2	2	6	-5	+1.6	8
16	Halmstad	11	2	0	9	-19	-5.7	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.