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Allsvenskan

Referee: K Karlsson

Djurgarden

S U S T T

1–0

Full-time

GAIS

T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Djurgarden GAIS

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 50%

40%

60%

Points per game

1,4

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

40%

80%

Both score Ø 50%

40%

60%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

1,8

1,4

Conceded

1,4

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,54 xG 0,72

60% Possession 40%

10 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 2

1 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Djurgarden 7. · GAIS 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	6	6	0	0	+17	+6.8	18
2	Halmstad	6	4	0	2	+0	-3.6	12
3	AIK	6	3	2	1	+0	-2.2	11
4	Hacken	5	3	1	1	+2	-2.3	10
5	GAIS	5	3	0	2	-2	+0.2	9
6	Brommapojkarna	5	2	2	1	+5	+2.5	8
7	Djurgarden	5	2	1	2	+2	+1.4	7
8	Mjallby	5	2	1	2	+2	+1.0	7
9	Sirius	5	2	1	2	+1	+2.0	7
10	Norrkoping	5	2	1	2	-4	-3.2	7
11	Hammarby	5	2	0	3	+1	+1.0	6
12	Goteborg	5	1	1	3	-4	-0.8	4
13	Elfsborg	5	1	1	3	-5	+2.5	4
14	Varnamo	6	1	1	4	-8	-4.5	4
15	Vasteras SK	5	1	0	4	-3	+2.3	3
16	Kalmar	5	1	0	4	-4	-2.9	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	3	3	0	0	+8	+1.2	9
2	AIK	3	3	0	0	+5	-0.3	9
3	Hammarby	2	2	0	0	+5	+1.0	6
4	Hacken	3	2	0	1	+1	-2.3	6
5	Halmstad	3	2	0	1	+0	-0.2	6
6	Norrkoping	3	2	0	1	-1	-3.2	6
7	Mjallby	2	1	1	0	+3	+0.7	4
8	Djurgarden	3	1	1	1	+1	-1.9	4
9	Sirius	2	1	0	1	+2	+2.0	3
10	Vasteras SK	3	1	0	2	-1	+1.9	3
11	GAIS	2	1	0	1	-3	-0.1	3
12	Brommapojkarna	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.1	2
13	Elfsborg	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.8	1
14	Goteborg	3	0	1	2	-4	-2.2	1
15	Kalmar	3	0	0	3	-3	-1.4	0
16	Varnamo	3	0	0	3	-7	-2.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	3	3	0	0	+9	+5.6	9
2	Brommapojkarna	3	2	0	1	+5	+2.4	6
3	GAIS	3	2	0	1	+1	+0.4	6
4	Halmstad	3	2	0	1	+0	-3.4	6
5	Hacken	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
6	Varnamo	3	1	1	1	-1	-2.4	4
7	Sirius	3	1	1	1	-1	-0.0	4
8	Djurgarden	2	1	0	1	+1	+3.3	3
9	Goteborg	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.4	3
10	Kalmar	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.6	3
11	Mjallby	3	1	0	2	-1	+0.3	3
12	Elfsborg	3	1	0	2	-4	+0.6	3
13	AIK	3	0	2	1	-5	-1.9	2
14	Norrkoping	2	0	1	1	-3	–	1
15	Vasteras SK	2	0	0	2	-2	+0.4	0
16	Hammarby	3	0	0	3	-4	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.