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Svenska Cupen
Referee: F Oppong
3–1
Full-time
Varnamo
S U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

GAIS Varnamo
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
100%
17%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
0%
83%
Average goals
1,0
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
0,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Västra Frölunda 1 1 0 0 +6 3
2 Tord 1 1 0 0 +6 3
3 Tvååker 1 1 0 0 +5 3
4 Nyköping 1 1 0 0 +5 3
5 Brålanda 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Österlen 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 IF Karlstad 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Stockholm Internazionale 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Husqvarna 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Ljungskile SK 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Vasalund 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Oskarshamns AIK 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Sandviken 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Trollhättan 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Stocksund 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 IFK Östersund 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Degerfors 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Gauthiod 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Onsala 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Lund 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Torns 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Örebro Syrianska 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 IFK Österåker 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Hudiksvall 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 IFK Luleå 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Hacken 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 GAIS 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Enköping 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Hässleholms IF 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Älmhults 2 1 0 1 +0 3
31 Arlanda 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Täby 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Gute 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Haninge 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Eneby 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 Sleipner 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Ullared 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 IFK Malmö 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Olympic 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Skiljebo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Sollentuna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Friska Viljor 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Asarum 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Umeå FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Lindome 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Uppsala 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Eskilsminne 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Lidingö 1 0 0 1 -2 0
49 Motala 1 0 0 1 -2 0
50 Angered BK 1 0 0 1 -2 0
51 Karlberg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
52 Räppe 1 0 0 1 -2 0
53 Korsnäs 1 0 0 1 -2 0
54 Vänersborgs FK 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 Järfälla 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 Lucksta 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 Huddinge 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 Lidköping 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Vänersborgs IF 1 0 0 1 -4 0
60 Simrishamn 1 0 0 1 -4 0
61 Nordvärmland 1 0 0 1 -4 0
62 Angelholms FF 1 0 0 1 -5 0
63 Trosa-Vagnhärad SK 1 0 0 1 -5 0
64 Torslanda 1 0 0 1 -6 0
65 Assyriska Turabdin 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

GAIS Varnamo
F. Gustafsson 🔁
↦ A. Henriksson
37′
Half-time 0–0
54′
🔁 A. Zeljkovic
↦ J. Dickman
Jonas Lindberg 🔁
↦ V. Alexandersson
70′
G. Lundgren 🔁
↦ J. Åberg
78′
Julius Lindberg 🔁
↦ R. Friday
78′
85′
M. Antonsson 0–1
90′
🔁 F. Adjei
↦ A. Magashy
90′
🔁 F. Wennergrund
↦ M. Antonsson
1–1 M. Çelik
95′
104′
🟥
V. Krüger 🔁
↦ N. Andersén
105′
2–1 M. Kargbo
107′
3–1 M. Çelik
117′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

GAIS

33 E. Krantz
5 N. Andersén
6 A. Wängberg
4 A. Norén
A. Cardaklija
8 V. Alexandersson
7 J. Åberg
21 A. Henriksson
22 M. Çelik
10 M. Kargbo
19 R. Friday
Bench (7)
14 F. Gustafsson
25 Jonas Lindberg
9 G. Lundgren
11 Julius Lindberg
3 V. Krüger
1 M. Krasniqi
C. Juhlin

Coach: F. Holmberg

Varnamo

J. Rasheed
Netinho
A. Lohikangas
H. Näsström
Bernardo Vilar
V. Larsson
O. Johansson
D. Edvardsson
A. Magashy
J. Dickman
M. Antonsson
Bench (7)
A. Zeljkovic
F. Adjei
F. Wennergrund
E. Bećirović
F. Winsth
M. Simba
P. Vaitsiakhovich

Coach: K. Hellberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.