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Allsvenskan

Referee: Oscar Johnson

Varnamo

T T T T T

1–3

Full-time

Norrkoping

S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varnamo Norrkoping

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

4,7

Scored

0,7

2,2

Conceded

1,8

2,5

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 20%

40%

Points per game

0,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

60%

80%

Both score Ø 60%

60%

Average goals

2,6

4,8

Scored

0,8

2,4

Conceded

1,8

2,4

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,44 xG 1,12

56% Possession 44%

14 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 5

6 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

13 Corners 3

2 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Varnamo 16. · Norrkoping 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AIK	6	5	1	0	+6	+0.3	16
2	Mjallby	6	4	2	0	+10	+0.2	14
3	Hammarby	6	4	1	1	+8	+3.3	13
4	Elfsborg	6	3	1	2	+1	+2.7	10
5	Degerfors	6	3	0	3	+1	+0.3	9
6	Goteborg	5	3	0	2	-2	+1.5	9
7	Malmo FF	5	2	2	1	+0	+1.3	8
8	Brommapojkarna	5	2	1	2	+0	+0.2	7
9	Djurgarden	5	2	1	2	-1	+1.6	7
10	Hacken	6	2	1	3	-3	-0.1	7
11	GAIS	5	1	3	1	+1	-2.2	6
12	Norrkoping	5	2	0	3	+0	+0.8	6
13	Sirius	5	1	1	3	-4	-2.7	4
14	Oster	5	1	0	4	-2	+0.0	3
15	Halmstad	5	1	0	4	-10	-6.3	3
16	Varnamo	5	0	0	5	-5	-1.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	3	3	0	0	+8	+2.8	9
2	Mjallby	3	2	1	0	+5	+1.9	7
3	Elfsborg	3	2	1	0	+3	+2.2	7
4	AIK	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.5	7
5	Norrkoping	3	2	0	1	+3	+1.3	6
6	Malmo FF	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.3	4
7	GAIS	3	1	1	1	+1	+0.2	4
8	Djurgarden	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.6	4
9	Hacken	4	1	1	2	-2	+2.3	4
10	Oster	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.7	3
11	Goteborg	2	1	0	1	+0	+3.5	3
12	Degerfors	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.1	3
13	Brommapojkarna	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.2	3
14	Halmstad	3	1	0	2	-6	-3.0	3
15	Varnamo	3	0	0	3	-3	-0.3	0
16	Sirius	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AIK	3	3	0	0	+3	-0.2	9
2	Mjallby	3	2	1	0	+5	-1.7	7
3	Degerfors	4	2	0	2	+1	+2.5	6
4	Goteborg	3	2	0	1	-2	-2.1	6
5	Brommapojkarna	3	1	1	1	+1	–	4
6	Sirius	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.5	4
7	Hammarby	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.4	4
8	Malmo FF	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.0	4
9	Hacken	2	1	0	1	-1	-2.4	3
10	Djurgarden	2	1	0	1	-1	+1.0	3
11	Elfsborg	3	1	0	2	-2	+0.5	3
12	GAIS	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.5	2
13	Varnamo	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.7	0
14	Norrkoping	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.5	0
15	Oster	3	0	0	3	-3	-0.6	0
16	Halmstad	2	0	0	2	-4	-3.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.