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Allsvenskan

Referee: V Wolf

GAIS

S U S T T

0–0

Full-time

Varnamo

T S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

GAIS Varnamo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 35%

46%

23%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

50%

42%

Both score Ø 44%

38%

50%

Average goals

2,4

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,1

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,10 xG 0,48

53% Possession 47%

12 Shots 6

2 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match GAIS 9. · Varnamo 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	27	17	7	3	+40	+22.1	58
2	Hammarby	26	14	5	7	+19	+5.9	47
3	Djurgarden	26	14	5	7	+10	+1.3	47
4	Mjallby	27	13	6	8	+8	+2.3	45
5	AIK	26	14	3	9	+0	+2.6	45
6	Hacken	27	12	6	9	+6	-7.6	42
7	Elfsborg	27	12	5	10	+8	+7.6	41
8	Sirius	27	12	4	11	+5	+0.7	40
9	GAIS	26	12	4	10	+0	-4.3	40
10	Brommapojkarna	26	8	9	9	-4	-1.2	33
11	Goteborg	26	7	9	10	-7	-6.1	30
12	Halmstad	27	8	3	16	-16	-6.1	27
13	Norrkoping	26	7	6	13	-21	-5.7	27
14	Varnamo	26	6	8	12	-10	-5.8	26
15	Kalmar	27	6	5	16	-22	-8.8	23
16	Vasteras SK	27	5	5	17	-16	+2.9	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	13	11	1	1	+29	+9.3	34
2	Mjallby	13	8	4	1	+11	+2.9	28
3	Elfsborg	14	8	3	3	+15	+7.3	27
4	Hammarby	13	8	3	2	+14	+4.5	27
5	GAIS	13	8	3	2	+10	+0.3	27
6	AIK	13	8	1	4	+9	+4.6	25
7	Djurgarden	13	6	4	3	+3	-1.0	22
8	Hacken	13	6	3	4	+8	-0.6	21
9	Sirius	13	6	2	5	+8	+5.4	20
10	Halmstad	14	6	2	6	+4	+0.7	20
11	Brommapojkarna	13	4	5	4	-5	-0.1	17
12	Norrkoping	13	5	1	7	-9	-1.9	16
13	Goteborg	13	3	5	5	-5	-4.3	14
14	Vasteras SK	14	3	3	8	-7	+4.0	12
15	Kalmar	14	3	2	9	-11	-3.5	11
16	Varnamo	13	2	3	8	-12	-1.9	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Djurgarden	13	8	1	4	+7	+2.3	25
2	Malmo FF	14	6	6	2	+11	+12.8	24
3	Hacken	14	6	3	5	-2	-7.0	21
4	Hammarby	13	6	2	5	+5	+1.3	20
5	Sirius	14	6	2	6	-3	-4.7	20
6	AIK	13	6	2	5	-9	-2.0	20
7	Varnamo	13	4	5	4	+2	-3.9	17
8	Mjallby	14	5	2	7	-3	-0.6	17
9	Brommapojkarna	13	4	4	5	+1	-1.1	16
10	Goteborg	13	4	4	5	-2	-1.8	16
11	Elfsborg	13	4	2	7	-7	+0.3	14
12	GAIS	13	4	1	8	-10	-4.5	13
13	Kalmar	13	3	3	7	-11	-5.3	12
14	Norrkoping	13	2	5	6	-12	-3.7	11
15	Vasteras SK	13	2	2	9	-9	-1.0	8
16	Halmstad	13	2	1	10	-20	-6.9	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.