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Allsvenskan

Referee: Tess Olofsson

Halmstad

T S T T U

4–2

Full-time

Varnamo

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Halmstad Varnamo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

0,5

0,8

Conceded

2,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,7

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

0,5

0,8

Conceded

2,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,7

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,57 xG 1,28

32% Possession 68%

9 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 10

8 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Halmstad 14. · Varnamo 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AIK	6	5	1	0	+6	+0.3	16
2	Mjallby	6	4	2	0	+10	+0.2	14
3	Hammarby	6	4	1	1	+8	+3.3	13
4	Malmo FF	6	3	2	1	+2	+3.2	11
5	Degerfors	7	3	1	3	+1	+1.8	10
6	Elfsborg	6	3	1	2	+1	+2.7	10
7	Goteborg	6	3	1	2	-2	+1.2	10
8	Norrkoping	6	3	0	3	+2	+0.5	9
9	GAIS	6	1	4	1	+1	-2.0	7
10	Brommapojkarna	5	2	1	2	+0	+0.2	7
11	Djurgarden	5	2	1	2	-1	+1.6	7
12	Hacken	6	2	1	3	-3	-0.1	7
13	Sirius	7	1	3	3	-4	-4.2	6
14	Halmstad	6	1	1	4	-10	-6.2	4
15	Oster	6	1	0	5	-4	-1.9	3
16	Varnamo	6	0	0	6	-7	-0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	3	3	0	0	+8	+2.8	9
2	Mjallby	3	2	1	0	+5	+1.9	7
3	Elfsborg	3	2	1	0	+3	+2.2	7
4	AIK	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.5	7
5	Malmo FF	3	2	1	0	+3	+4.2	7
6	Norrkoping	3	2	0	1	+3	+1.3	6
7	GAIS	3	1	1	1	+1	+0.2	4
8	Goteborg	3	1	1	1	+0	+3.2	4
9	Degerfors	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.7	4
10	Djurgarden	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.6	4
11	Hacken	4	1	1	2	-2	+2.3	4
12	Oster	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.7	3
13	Brommapojkarna	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.2	3
14	Halmstad	3	1	0	2	-6	-3.0	3
15	Sirius	3	0	1	2	-4	-1.3	1
16	Varnamo	4	0	0	4	-5	-0.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AIK	3	3	0	0	+3	-0.2	9
2	Mjallby	3	2	1	0	+5	-1.7	7
3	Degerfors	4	2	0	2	+1	+2.5	6
4	Goteborg	3	2	0	1	-2	-2.1	6
5	Sirius	4	1	2	1	+0	-2.9	5
6	Brommapojkarna	3	1	1	1	+1	–	4
7	Hammarby	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.4	4
8	Malmo FF	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.0	4
9	GAIS	3	0	3	0	+0	-2.2	3
10	Norrkoping	3	1	0	2	-1	-0.9	3
11	Hacken	2	1	0	1	-1	-2.4	3
12	Djurgarden	2	1	0	1	-1	+1.0	3
13	Elfsborg	3	1	0	2	-2	+0.5	3
14	Halmstad	3	0	1	2	-4	-3.2	1
15	Varnamo	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.7	0
16	Oster	4	0	0	4	-5	-2.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.