Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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AFC Eskilstuna
Elfsborg
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AIK
|
23 | 15 | 4 | 4 | +18 | 49 |
| 2 |
Malmo FF
|
23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | +27 | 47 |
| 3 |
Djurgarden
|
22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | +24 | 47 |
| 4 |
Hammarby
|
23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | +23 | 44 |
| 5 |
Hacken
|
23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | +18 | 43 |
| 6 |
Goteborg
|
23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | +13 | 41 |
| 7 |
Norrkoping
|
23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | +17 | 40 |
| 8 | Orebro | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | -1 | 29 |
| 9 |
Elfsborg
|
22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | -6 | 28 |
| 10 |
Sirius
|
23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | -15 | 22 |
| 11 |
Helsingborg
|
22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -15 | 21 |
| 12 | Ostersunds | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -16 | 21 |
| 13 |
Kalmar
|
23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -16 | 21 |
| 14 | Falkenbergs | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -29 | 16 |
| 15 |
AFC Eskilstuna
|
22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | -26 | 14 |
| 16 |
Sundsvall
|
23 | 2 | 7 | 14 | -16 | 13 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
AFC Eskilstuna
AFC Eskilstuna
Hacken
Djurgarden
AFC Eskilstuna
AFC Eskilstuna
AIK
AFC Eskilstuna
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.