Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sundsvall
Elfsborg
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Djurgarden
|
21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | +25 | 47 |
| 2 |
AIK
|
21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | +16 | 43 |
| 3 |
Malmo FF
|
21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | +21 | 41 |
| 4 |
Hacken
|
21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | +16 | 40 |
| 5 |
Hammarby
|
20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | +19 | 38 |
| 6 |
Norrkoping
|
21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | +16 | 37 |
| 7 |
Goteborg
|
20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | +11 | 35 |
| 8 | Orebro | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | -3 | 25 |
| 9 |
Elfsborg
|
20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | -7 | 24 |
| 10 | Ostersunds | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | -13 | 21 |
| 11 |
Kalmar
|
20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | -8 | 18 |
| 12 |
Sirius
|
21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | -17 | 18 |
| 13 |
Helsingborg
|
21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -17 | 18 |
| 14 | Falkenbergs | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -22 | 16 |
| 15 |
AFC Eskilstuna
|
21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | -24 | 14 |
| 16 |
Sundsvall
|
20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | -13 | 12 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Hammarby
Sundsvall
Sundsvall
Sundsvall
Sundsvall
Hacken
Sundsvall
Hammarby
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.