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Superligaen
Referee: J Maae
Fredericia
T S S S T
2–3
Full-time
Nordsjaelland
T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fredericia Nordsjaelland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
4,8
4,0
Scored
3,0
1,5
Conceded
1,8
2,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

1,25 xG 1,21
39% Possession 61%
6 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Fredericia Nordsjaelland
1–0 G. Marcussen
M. Opondo
1′
4′
P. Amoako 1–1
C. Yirenkyi
15′
S. W. Egeli 1–2
P. Amoako
36′
P. Ankersen 1–3
N. Rojkjaer
Half-time 1–3
J. Jessen 🔁
↦ A. Dahl
46′
P. Egelund 🔁
↦ J. Lindekilde
46′
Emilio Simonsen 🟨
47′
A. Pyndt 🔁
↦ W. Madsen
66′
66′
🔁 R. Ascone
↦ V. Berthelsen
66′
🔁 Z. Sertdemir
↦ P. Amoako
Jeppe Kudsk 🟨
74′
A. Mucolli 🔁
↦ E. Simonsen
78′
78′
🔁 J. Janssen
↦ M. Brink
Agon Mucolli 🟨
81′
81′
🟨 Lucas Høgsberg
Frederik Rieper ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
83′
A. Nygaard 🔁
↦ S. Crone
85′
2–3 P. Egelund
A. Mucolli
85′
89′
🟨 Zidan Sertdemir
89′
🔁 K. Hansen
↦ N. Rojkjaer
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Fredericia

4-2-3-1
25 O. Ejeheri G
14 A. Dahl D
4 J. Kudsk D
5 F. Rieper D
12 S. Crone D
6 F. Winther M
13 W. Madsen M
11 M. Opondo M
21 J. Lindekilde M
10 E. Simonsen M
7 G. Marcussen F
Bench (9)
1 M. Lamhauge
3 A. Nygaard
8 J. Jessen
9 P. Egelund
15 M. Ladefoged
18 A. Pyndt
20 D. Haarbo
97 O. Buch
98 A. Mucolli

Coach: Michael Hansen

Nordsjaelland

4-3-3
38 W. Lykke G
2 P. Ankersen D
3 T. Salquist D
24 L. Hogsberg D
28 M. Walker D
36 C. Yirenkyi M
6 M. Brink M
8 N. Rojkjaer M
7 S. W. Egeli F
29 V. Berthelsen F
22 P. Amoako F
Bench (9)
4 K. Hansen
12 R. Ascone
13 A. Hansen
18 J. Janssen
21 Z. Sertdemir
25 J. Lahteenmaki
34 S. Acquah
40 H. Rasmussen
45 N. Markmann

Coach: Jens Olsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Maae · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.