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Superligaen

Referee: J Hansen

Fredericia

T T S T U

3–2

Full-time

Sonderjyske

S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fredericia Sonderjyske

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

4,0

4,5

Scored

2,0

2,3

Conceded

2,0

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

25%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 63%

50%

75%

Average goals

3,8

4,0

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

2,0

2,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,94 xG 1,50

57% Possession 43%

23 Shots 17

7 Shots on target 5

7 Blocked shots 9

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

13 Corners 3

4 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Fredericia 9. · Sonderjyske 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	5	4	0	1	+6	+5.0	12
2	Brondby	4	3	0	1	+3	+1.3	9
3	Randers FC	4	2	1	1	+1	-0.7	7
4	Odense	4	2	1	1	-1	+1.7	7
5	Midtjylland	4	1	3	0	+4	-0.5	6
6	Viborg	4	2	0	2	+0	-2.1	6
7	Aarhus	4	1	2	1	+0	+0.5	5
8	Vejle	4	1	1	2	+1	-1.7	4
9	Fredericia	4	1	1	2	-1	-1.8	4
10	Sonderjyske	4	1	1	2	-4	-2.5	4
11	Silkeborg	4	1	0	3	-4	+2.2	3
12	Nordsjaelland	5	1	0	4	-5	-1.3	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Odense	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.0	6
2	Brondby	3	2	0	1	+2	+1.4	6
3	Midtjylland	3	1	2	0	+4	+1.2	5
4	Vejle	2	1	1	0	+4	+0.2	4
5	Sonderjyske	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.6	4
6	FC Copenhagen	2	1	0	1	+1	+2.5	3
7	Randers FC	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
8	Silkeborg	2	1	0	1	+0	+3.9	3
9	Viborg	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.1	3
10	Aarhus	2	0	1	1	-1	+2.3	1
11	Fredericia	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.1	0
12	Nordsjaelland	2	0	0	2	-3	+0.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	3	3	0	0	+5	+2.5	9
2	Fredericia	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.7	4
3	Aarhus	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.7	4
4	Randers FC	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.3	4
5	Brondby	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
6	Viborg	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.0	3
7	Nordsjaelland	3	1	0	2	-2	-1.9	3
8	Midtjylland	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.7	1
9	Odense	2	0	1	1	-4	-0.3	1
10	Vejle	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.9	0
11	Silkeborg	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.6	0
12	Sonderjyske	2	0	0	2	-5	-1.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.