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Superligaen

Referee: J Karlsen

Fredericia

S S T T S

0–2

Full-time

FC Copenhagen

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fredericia FC Copenhagen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 84%

67%

100%

Points per game

2,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

4,7

2,7

Scored

3,3

2,3

Conceded

1,3

0,3

Goal diff per game

+2,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 75%

50%

100%

Points per game

1,5

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,5

Scored

2,0

2,5

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,46 xG 1,63

39% Possession 61%

9 Shots 17

3 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 8

1 Offside 2

5 Free kicks against 10

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fredericia 6. · FC Copenhagen 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	2	2	0	0	+4	+0.8	6
2	FC Copenhagen	2	2	0	0	+3	+3.2	6
3	Midtjylland	2	1	1	0	+4	+1.2	4
4	Odense	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.1	4
5	Randers FC	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.3	4
6	Fredericia	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.6	3
7	Nordsjaelland	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.1	3
8	Aarhus	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.3	1
9	Vejle	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.8	1
10	Sonderjyske	2	0	1	1	-4	-0.6	1
11	Viborg	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.6	0
12	Silkeborg	2	0	0	2	-5	-0.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	2	1	1	0	+4	+1.2	4
2	Brondby	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.0	3
3	Odense	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.0	3
4	FC Copenhagen	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.6	3
5	Sonderjyske	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.8	1
6	Vejle	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.3	1
7	Viborg	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.7	0
8	Fredericia	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.0	0
9	Aarhus	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.6	0
10	Nordsjaelland	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
11	Silkeborg	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Randers FC	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.3	4
2	Fredericia	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.7	3
3	FC Copenhagen	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.7	3
4	Nordsjaelland	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.0	3
5	Brondby	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
6	Odense	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
7	Aarhus	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.8	1
8	Viborg	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.0	0
9	Vejle	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.6	0
10	Silkeborg	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.0	0
11	Sonderjyske	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.