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Superligaen
Referee: Jakob Kehlet
Lyngby
U T S T T
2–1
Full-time
Aalborg
S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyngby Aalborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,8
This season — Superligaen · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 19%
17%
20%
Points per game
0,8
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
43%
47%
Both score Ø 52%
50%
53%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

46% Possession 54%
16 Shots 23
5 Shots on target 7
6 Blocked shots 7
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 7
2 Offside 5
14 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lyngby 12. · Aalborg 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 FC Copenhagen 30 17 4 9 +25 55
2 Nordsjaelland 30 15 9 6 +19 54
3 Viborg 30 14 8 8 +10 50
4 Midtjylland 30 12 11 7 +14 47
5 Aarhus 30 13 8 9 +9 47
6 Odense 31 12 10 9 -4 46
7 Randers FC 30 10 10 10 -5 40
8 Brondby 30 11 7 12 -8 40
9 Silkeborg 30 10 7 13 -6 37
10 Aalborg 30 6 9 15 -9 27
11 Horsens 31 7 6 18 -25 27
12 Lyngby 30 5 9 16 -20 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lyngby Aalborg
1–0 P. Knudsen
W. Kumado
24′
26′
🔁 L. Prip
↦ Pedro Ferreira
29′
🟨 Nicklas Helenius
44′
L. Kramer 1–1
L. Andersen
Half-time 1–1
M. Kristensen 🔁
↦ P. Knudsen
46′
2–1 F. Gytkjær
46′
48′
🔁 J. Ahlmann
↦ R. Thelander
62′
🔁 O. Ross
↦ K. Ludewig
63′
🔁 A. Ementa
↦ N. Helenius
63′
🔁 M. Ramkilde
↦ I. Fossum
T. Storm 🔁
↦ W. Kumado
70′
B. Hämäläinen 🔁
↦ K. Finnsson
81′
P. Bizoza 🔁
↦ F. Gytkjær
96′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Lyngby

3-5-2
16 M. Kikkenborg G
23 P. Gregor D
6 A. Bjelland D
29 L. Hey D
7 W. Kumado M
21 S. Magnússon M
30 M. Rømer M
42 T. Chukwuani M
20 K. Finnsson M
26 F. Gytkjær F
8 P. Knudsen F
Bench (9)
9 M. Kristensen
24 T. Storm
3 B. Hämäläinen
22 P. Bizoza
13 C. Winther
2 M. Juhl
40 G. Ullits
10 R. Çorlu
19 S. Ngabo

Coach: F. Alexandersson

Aalborg

4-3-3
40 N. Mantl G
32 K. Ludewig D
4 L. Kramer D
26 R. Thelander D
5 D. Granli D
23 Y. Bakiz M
14 M. Højholt M
6 Pedro Ferreira M
8 I. Fossum F
17 N. Helenius F
10 L. Andersen F
Bench (8)
18 L. Prip
3 J. Ahlmann
38 O. Ross
19 A. Ementa
29 M. Ramkilde
22 T. Sander
34 S. Otoa
24 J. Skulstad

Coach: O. Hiljemark

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jakob Kehlet · 22 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.