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Superligaen
Referee: L Graagaard
Aalborg
S T T T S
2–1
Full-time
Lyngby
U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalborg Lyngby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,3
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
2,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 22%
29%
14%
Points per game
0,9
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
71%
14%
Both score Ø 36%
29%
43%
Average goals
3,1
1,9
Scored
0,7
0,6
Conceded
2,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
12 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aalborg 9. · Lyngby 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Midtjylland 7 5 2 0 +8 +6.7 17
2 Aarhus 7 5 1 1 +14 +1.6 16
3 Silkeborg 7 5 0 2 +6 +0.6 15
4 FC Copenhagen 7 4 2 1 +6 +4.3 14
5 Brondby 7 3 2 2 +4 +5.4 11
6 Randers FC 7 3 2 2 +1 -0.2 11
7 Nordsjaelland 7 3 2 2 +0 +3.6 11
8 Viborg 7 1 3 3 -3 -1.1 6
9 Aalborg 7 2 0 5 -12 -5.1 6
10 Lyngby 7 1 2 4 -5 -2.7 5
11 Sonderjyske 7 1 2 4 -7 -9.6 5
12 Vejle 7 0 0 7 -12 -3.6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

29. May -23 Lyngby – Aalborg 2–1 30. Apr -23 Aalborg – Lyngby 1–0 14. Oct -22 Lyngby – Aalborg 0–2 11. Sep -22 Aalborg – Lyngby 1–1 30. Apr -21 Aalborg – Lyngby 4–0

Match report

Aalborg Lyngby
3′
ℹ️ Tobias Storm
VAR: Goal cancelled
Oumar Diakhité 🟨
20′
26′
🟨 Brian Hämälainen
29′
🟨 Pascal Gregor
L. Kramer 🔁
↦ S. Otoa
43′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 L. Klassen
↦ T. Storm
1–0 M. Jørgensen ⚽
M. Widell
49′
58′
🔁 F. Gytkjær
↦ M. Abubakari
68′
🔁 M. Warming
↦ S. Magnússon
K. John 🔁
↦ K. Davidsen
69′
Diego Caballo 🔁
↦ A. Bruus
69′
71′
⚽ L. Klassen 1–1
F. Gytkjær
M. Bomholt 🔁
↦ M. Jiménez
79′
N. Helenius 🔁
↦ A. Jasson
79′
89′
🟨 Casper Winther
2–1 M. Bomholt ⚽
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Aalborg

4-2-3-1
1 V. Müller G
20 K. Jørgensen D
3 S. Otoa D
2 O. Diakhité D
6 M. Jiménez D
16 K. Davidsen M
8 M. Widell M
14 A. Bruus M
17 A. Jasson M
11 M. Jørgensen M
10 O. Ross F
Bench (9)
4 L. Kramer
27 K. John
15 Diego Caballo
21 M. Bomholt
9 N. Helenius
19 J. Iredale
22 R. de Boer
7 J. Adedeji
13 B. Pudel

Coach: M. van Dam

Lyngby

3-4-2-1
31 J. Krumrey G
5 L. Lissens D
23 P. Gregor D
3 B. Hämäläinen D
24 T. Storm M
14 L. Sandgrav M
13 C. Winther M
7 W. Kumado M
21 S. Magnússon F
17 J. Amon F
9 M. Abubakari F
Bench (9)
20 L. Klassen
26 F. Gytkjær
11 M. Warming
32 J. Storch
27 A. Vendelbo
15 M. Opoku
6 A. Bjelland
30 M. Rømer
4 B. Rolland

Coach: M. Karlsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

L Graagaard · 52 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.