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Superligaen
Referee: Jacob Karlsen
Lyngby
T U T U U
0–2
Full-time
Aalborg
S U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyngby Aalborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
1,8
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
This season — Superligaen · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,4
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
50%
42%
Both score Ø 58%
58%
58%
Average goals
2,9
2,1
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%
22 Shots 15
7 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lyngby 12. · Aalborg 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Nordsjaelland 12 7 3 2 +8 24
2 Randers FC 12 6 4 2 +5 22
3 Viborg 12 6 3 3 +4 21
4 Silkeborg 12 6 2 4 +5 20
5 Midtjylland 12 4 5 3 +2 17
6 Aarhus 12 5 1 6 +2 16
7 FC Copenhagen 12 5 1 6 +1 16
8 Horsens 12 4 3 5 -2 15
9 Brondby 12 4 3 5 -4 15
10 Odense 12 4 3 5 -5 15
11 Aalborg 12 2 5 5 -5 11
12 Lyngby 12 0 5 7 -11 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lyngby Aalborg
42′
Y. Bakiz 0–1
L. Prip
Half-time 0–1
Magnus Westergaard 🟨
55′
60′
Y. Bakiz 0–2
Allan Sousa
S. Magnússon 🔁
↦ M. Kaastrup
61′
C. Winther 🔁
↦ T. Chukwuani
61′
62′
🔁 A. Poulsen
↦ Allan Sousa
63′
🔁 M. Ramkilde
↦ J. Ahlmann
67′
🟨 Pedro Ferreira
71′
🔁 J. Pedersen
↦ L. Prip
T. Letschert 🔁
↦ P. Gregor
74′
Sævar Atli Magnússon 🟨
76′
Timo Letschert 🟨
78′
79′
🔁 M. Højholt
↦ Pedro Ferreira
79′
🔁 O. Ross
↦ L. Andersen
R. Thellufsen 🔁
↦ M. Rømer
85′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Lyngby

3-5-2
16 M. Kikkenborg G
23 P. Gregor D
30 M. Rømer D
29 L. Hey D
20 K. Jørgensen M
97 R. Çorlu M
42 T. Chukwuani M
22 M. Westergaard M
17 A. Sørensen M
9 M. Kristensen F
11 M. Kaastrup F
Bench (9)
21 S. Magnússon
13 C. Winther
4 T. Letschert
10 R. Thellufsen
3 B. Hämäläinen
12 S. Koch
1 F. Ibsen
24 T. Storm
2 M. Juhl

Coach: F. Alexandersson

Aalborg

4-4-1-1
22 T. Sander G
2 K. Pallesen D
5 D. Granli D
4 L. Kramer D
3 J. Ahlmann D
7 Allan Sousa M
6 Pedro Ferreira M
8 I. Fossum M
18 L. Prip M
10 L. Andersen F
23 Y. Bakiz F
Bench (9)
25 A. Poulsen
29 M. Ramkilde
28 J. Pedersen
14 M. Højholt
38 O. Ross
32 K. Ludewig
34 S. Otoa
40 D. Held
19 A. Ementa

Coach: E. Hamrén

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jacob Karlsen · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.