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Superligaen

Referee: J Sundberg

Midtjylland

S U S T S

2–1

Full-time

FC Copenhagen

U S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland FC Copenhagen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

3,5

2,7

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 64%

71%

57%

Points per game

2,4

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

57%

43%

Both score Ø 71%

71%

Average goals

3,1

Scored

2,1

2,0

Conceded

1,0

1,1

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%

17 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

17 Corners 3

1 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Midtjylland 1. · FC Copenhagen 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	7	5	2	0	+8	+6.7	17
2	Aarhus	7	5	1	1	+14	+1.6	16
3	Silkeborg	7	5	0	2	+6	+0.6	15
4	FC Copenhagen	7	4	2	1	+6	+4.3	14
5	Brondby	7	3	2	2	+4	+5.4	11
6	Randers FC	7	3	2	2	+1	-0.2	11
7	Nordsjaelland	7	3	2	2	+0	+3.6	11
8	Aalborg	8	3	0	5	-11	-5.1	9
9	Viborg	7	1	3	3	-3	-1.1	6
10	Lyngby	8	1	2	5	-6	-2.7	5
11	Sonderjyske	7	1	2	4	-7	-9.6	5
12	Vejle	7	0	0	7	-12	-3.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	4	3	1	0	+10	+1.5	10
2	Midtjylland	3	3	0	0	+5	+5.2	9
3	Silkeborg	4	3	0	1	+3	+1.5	9
4	Nordsjaelland	4	2	2	0	+4	+2.5	8
5	FC Copenhagen	4	2	2	0	+3	+1.4	8
6	Randers FC	4	2	0	2	+0	-0.2	6
7	Aalborg	4	2	0	2	-6	-2.9	6
8	Viborg	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.4	4
9	Brondby	3	1	1	1	+0	+2.0	4
10	Lyngby	4	1	0	3	-4	-0.7	3
11	Sonderjyske	3	0	2	1	-2	-4.4	2
12	Vejle	3	0	0	3	-4	-1.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	4	2	2	0	+3	+1.5	8
2	Brondby	4	2	1	1	+4	+3.4	7
3	Aarhus	3	2	0	1	+4	+0.1	6
4	FC Copenhagen	3	2	0	1	+3	+2.9	6
5	Silkeborg	3	2	0	1	+3	-0.9	6
6	Randers FC	3	1	2	0	+1	+0.1	5
7	Nordsjaelland	3	1	0	2	-4	+1.1	3
8	Sonderjyske	4	1	0	3	-5	-5.2	3
9	Aalborg	4	1	0	3	-5	-2.2	3
10	Lyngby	4	0	2	2	-2	-2.1	2
11	Viborg	4	0	2	2	-3	+0.3	2
12	Vejle	4	0	0	4	-8	-2.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.