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Superligaen

Referee: J Karlsen

Nordsjaelland

S U S U T

3–2

Full-time

FC Copenhagen

S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nordsjaelland FC Copenhagen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,8

1,7

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,3

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 50%

40%

60%

Points per game

1,6

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

60%

20%

Both score Ø 60%

60%

Average goals

3,0

2,6

Scored

1,6

1,8

Conceded

1,4

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

1,61 xG 2,00

58% Possession 42%

18 Shots 21

6 Shots on target 9

5 Blocked shots 6

7 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 3

1 Offside 3

9 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nordsjaelland 6. · FC Copenhagen 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Silkeborg	6	5	0	1	+8	+1.0	15
2	Midtjylland	6	4	2	0	+6	+6.3	14
3	Aarhus	6	4	1	1	+12	+1.8	13
4	FC Copenhagen	5	3	2	0	+5	+4.4	11
5	Brondby	5	3	1	1	+6	+4.6	10
6	Nordsjaelland	5	2	2	1	+1	+3.8	8
7	Randers FC	5	2	1	2	+0	+0.2	7
8	Aalborg	6	2	0	4	-11	-5.1	6
9	Sonderjyske	6	1	1	4	-7	-8.2	4
10	Viborg	5	0	2	3	-4	-2.7	2
11	Lyngby	5	0	2	3	-5	-2.5	2
12	Vejle	6	0	0	6	-11	-3.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Silkeborg	3	3	0	0	+5	+1.9	9
2	Midtjylland	3	3	0	0	+5	+5.2	9
3	Aarhus	3	2	1	0	+8	+1.6	7
4	Nordsjaelland	3	1	2	0	+3	+2.9	5
5	FC Copenhagen	3	1	2	0	+1	+1.8	5
6	Brondby	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.6	3
7	Randers FC	3	1	0	2	-1	-0.2	3
8	Aalborg	3	1	0	2	-7	-2.9	3
9	Viborg	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.6	1
10	Sonderjyske	2	0	1	1	-2	-3.0	1
11	Vejle	3	0	0	3	-4	-1.3	0
12	Lyngby	3	0	0	3	-5	-0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	3	2	1	0	+6	+3.0	7
2	Aarhus	3	2	0	1	+4	+0.1	6
3	FC Copenhagen	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.5	6
4	Silkeborg	3	2	0	1	+3	-0.9	6
5	Midtjylland	3	1	2	0	+1	+1.1	5
6	Randers FC	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.5	4
7	Nordsjaelland	2	1	0	1	-2	+0.9	3
8	Aalborg	3	1	0	2	-4	-2.2	3
9	Sonderjyske	4	1	0	3	-5	-5.2	3
10	Lyngby	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.9	2
11	Viborg	3	0	1	2	-3	-1.1	1
12	Vejle	3	0	0	3	-7	-2.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.