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Superligaen

Referee: M Kristoffersen

FC Copenhagen

U S S S S

1–2

Full-time

Midtjylland

U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Copenhagen Midtjylland

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,5

3,2

Scored

2,3

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 62%

62%

Points per game

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

69%

66%

Both score Ø 57%

55%

59%

Average goals

3,2

3,1

Scored

2,1

1,9

Conceded

1,1

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

3,46 xG 1,32

71% Possession 29%

25 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 0

3 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match FC Copenhagen 2. · Midtjylland 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	30	17	8	5	+24	+6.7	59
2	FC Copenhagen	29	18	4	7	+28	+16.8	58
3	Midtjylland	29	18	4	7	+18	+13.2	58
4	Nordsjaelland	30	16	8	6	+26	+4.5	56
5	Aarhus	30	9	11	10	-6	+5.0	38
6	Randers FC	30	9	11	10	-7	+0.6	38
7	Viborg	30	10	7	13	-9	-3.7	37
8	Silkeborg	30	10	5	15	-9	+5.5	35
9	Vejle	30	8	9	13	-5	-18.7	33
10	Lyngby	30	8	8	14	-16	-5.8	32
11	Odense	30	7	8	15	-12	-7.0	29
12	Hvidovre IF	30	4	7	19	-32	-17.0	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	15	10	3	2	+16	+9.1	33
2	Nordsjaelland	15	9	5	1	+20	+5.7	32
3	Brondby	15	9	3	3	+13	+7.1	30
4	FC Copenhagen	14	9	1	4	+15	+12.8	28
5	Viborg	15	7	4	4	+5	-1.2	25
6	Lyngby	15	5	7	3	+4	+1.2	22
7	Silkeborg	15	6	3	6	+2	+7.9	21
8	Randers FC	15	5	6	4	-1	+3.5	21
9	Vejle	15	5	4	6	+1	-5.6	19
10	Aarhus	15	5	4	6	-4	+4.3	19
11	Hvidovre IF	15	1	2	12	-22	-5.3	5
12	Odense	15	0	3	12	-19	-3.4	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	15	9	3	3	+13	+4.0	30
2	Brondby	15	8	5	2	+11	-0.4	29
3	Odense	15	7	5	3	+7	-3.6	26
4	Midtjylland	14	8	1	5	+2	+4.0	25
5	Nordsjaelland	15	7	3	5	+6	-1.2	24
6	Aarhus	15	4	7	4	-2	+0.7	19
7	Randers FC	15	4	5	6	-6	-2.9	17
8	Vejle	15	3	5	7	-6	-13.1	14
9	Hvidovre IF	15	3	5	7	-10	-11.7	14
10	Silkeborg	15	4	2	9	-11	-2.4	14
11	Viborg	15	3	3	9	-14	-2.6	12
12	Lyngby	15	3	1	11	-20	-6.9	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.