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La Liga

Referee: Ricardo De Burgos

Mallorca

S U T U S

1–2

Full-time

Villarreal

U U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mallorca Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

1,8

4,3

Scored

1,0

2,3

Conceded

0,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

25%

50%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

75%

Both score Ø 63%

25%

100%

Average goals

1,0

4,0

Scored

0,5

2,3

Conceded

0,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,35 xG 1,77

54% Possession 46%

10 Shots 21

5 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 8

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 6

2 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mallorca 10. · Villarreal 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	4	4	0	0	+10	+7.4	12
2	Real Madrid	4	2	2	0	+5	+5.4	8
3	Ath Madrid	4	2	2	0	+4	+4.2	8
4	Villarreal	4	2	2	0	+2	+0.1	8
5	Girona	4	2	1	1	+3	+2.9	7
6	Alaves	4	2	1	1	+2	+1.3	7
7	Osasuna	4	2	1	1	-2	-2.3	7
8	Celta	4	2	0	2	+1	-0.5	6
9	Betis	4	1	2	1	+0	+1.2	5
10	Mallorca	4	1	2	1	+0	+1.3	5
11	Leganes	5	1	2	2	-2	-3.6	5
12	Vallecano	4	1	1	2	-1	-1.6	4
13	Ath Bilbao	4	1	1	2	-1	-1.5	4
14	Sociedad	4	1	1	2	-1	-1.6	4
15	Espanol	4	1	1	2	-1	-0.9	4
16	Valladolid	4	1	1	2	-9	-4.2	4
17	Getafe	3	0	3	0	+0	+1.3	3
18	Las Palmas	4	0	2	2	-3	-4.7	2
19	Sevilla	4	0	2	2	-3	-0.5	2
20	Valencia	4	0	1	3	-4	-3.6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Osasuna	3	2	1	0	+2	-0.0	7
2	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+8	+4.2	6
3	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+5	+3.7	6
4	Celta	2	2	0	0	+3	-0.4	6
5	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+3	+2.4	4
6	Betis	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.8	4
7	Alaves	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.1	4
8	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.6	4
9	Valladolid	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.0	4
10	Ath Bilbao	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.6	4
11	Girona	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.2	3
12	Leganes	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.0	3
13	Espanol	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.1	3
14	Las Palmas	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.6	2
15	Mallorca	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.6	2
16	Getafe	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.8	2
17	Valencia	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.9	1
18	Vallecano	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
19	Sociedad	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.4	0
20	Sevilla	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+2	+3.2	6
2	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.8	4
3	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.5	4
4	Sociedad	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.2	4
5	Vallecano	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.6	4
6	Girona	3	1	1	1	-1	+0.6	4
7	Alaves	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.2	3
8	Mallorca	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.7	3
9	Real Madrid	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.8	2
10	Sevilla	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.3	2
11	Leganes	3	0	2	1	-2	-3.6	2
12	Getafe	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
13	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.0	1
14	Betis	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.7	1
15	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
16	Celta	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.2	0
17	Valencia	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.7	0
18	Las Palmas	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.0	0
19	Osasuna	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.2	0
20	Valladolid	2	0	0	2	-10	-5.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.