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Superligaen
Referee: S Putros
Midtjylland
S S S T S
2–0
Full-time
FC Copenhagen
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland FC Copenhagen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
4,0
2,5
Scored
3,0
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 63%
63%
63%
Points per game
2,1
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
63%
68%
Both score Ø 61%
63%
58%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,9
2,1
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,10 xG 2,40
39% Possession 61%
13 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Corners 6
4 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Midtjylland 3. · FC Copenhagen 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Brondby 19 12 4 3 +20 +5.3 40
2 FC Copenhagen 19 12 3 4 +18 +15.6 39
3 Midtjylland 19 12 3 4 +14 +10.6 39
4 Nordsjaelland 19 8 6 5 +11 +6.2 30
5 Aarhus 19 7 8 4 +3 +4.7 29
6 Silkeborg 19 8 3 8 +2 +5.8 27
7 Randers FC 19 5 7 7 -10 -2.5 22
8 Odense 19 5 5 9 -6 -7.1 20
9 Lyngby 19 5 5 9 -8 -2.6 20
10 Viborg 19 5 5 9 -13 -5.8 20
11 Vejle 19 4 6 9 -3 -13.8 18
12 Hvidovre IF 19 1 5 13 -28 -16.3 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Midtjylland FC Copenhagen
29′
🔁 J. Larsson
↦ V. Claesson
1–0 M. Bech
O. Sørensen
34′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 K. Diks
↦ B. Meling
46′
🔁 R. Bardghji
↦ O. Højlund
Charles 🔁
↦ A. Rømer
57′
62′
🟨 Rasmus Falk Jensen
D. Osorio 🔁
↦ A. Şimşir
68′
Franculino Djú 🔁
↦ O. Brynhildsen
68′
75′
🔁 A. Cornelius
↦ J. Larsson
75′
🔁 W. Clem
↦ M. Mattsson
J. Andersson 🔁
↦ A. Gabriel
84′
Lee Han-Beom 🔁
↦ Franculino Djú
84′
2–0 D. Osorio
94′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Midtjylland

4-4-2
1 J. Lössl G
13 A. Gabriel D
22 M. Bech D
73 Juninho D
55 V. Bak Jensen D
24 O. Sørensen M
2 A. Rømer M
37 A. Gigović M
58 A. Şimşir M
10 Cho Gue-Sung F
9 O. Brynhildsen F
Bench (9)
35 Charles
11 D. Osorio
17 Franculino Djú
6 J. Andersson
3 Lee Han-Beom
45 A. Kamara
41 M. Krüger-Johnsen
50 M. Fraisl
20 V. Byskov

Coach: T. Thomasberg

FC Copenhagen

4-3-3
1 K. Grabara G
19 E. Jelert D
3 D. Vavro D
26 S. McKenna D
24 B. Meling D
39 O. Højlund M
33 R. Falk M
8 M. Mattsson M
10 M. Elyounoussi F
7 V. Claesson F
30 E. Achouri F
Bench (9)
11 J. Larsson
2 K. Diks
40 R. Bardghji
14 A. Cornelius
36 W. Clem
6 C. Sørensen
31 R. Rúnarsson
47 V. Froholdt
9 Diogo Gonçalves

Coach: J. Neestrup

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Putros · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.