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2. Bundesliga

Referee: R Hempel

FC Koln

T U S S S

1–2

Full-time

Magdeburg

U S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Koln Magdeburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

100%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

4,3

3,3

Scored

2,5

2,0

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 88%

100%

75%

Both score Ø 63%

75%

50%

Average goals

4,0

3,0

Scored

2,8

2,3

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%

33 Shots 11

13 Shots on target 4

13 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 11

10 Corners 2

6 Offside 4

13 Free kicks against 10

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match FC Koln 7. · Magdeburg 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Karlsruhe	5	4	1	0	+5	13
2	Hannover	5	3	1	1	+4	10
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	3	1	0	+4	10
4	Paderborn	5	2	3	0	+3	9
5	Greuther Furth	4	2	2	0	+6	8
6	Magdeburg	4	2	2	0	+6	8
7	FC Koln	4	2	1	1	+6	7
8	Hamburg	4	2	1	1	+3	7
9	Hertha	4	2	1	1	+2	7
10	Kaiserslautern	5	2	1	2	-1	7
11	Nurnberg	5	2	1	2	-2	7
12	Elversberg	4	1	2	1	+3	5
13	Schalke 04	5	1	1	3	-2	4
14	Regensburg	4	1	0	3	-7	3
15	Preußen Münster	5	0	2	3	-6	2
16	Darmstadt	5	0	2	3	-8	2
17	Ulm	5	0	1	4	-4	1
18	Braunschweig	5	0	1	4	-12	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hannover	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Karlsruhe	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Elversberg	2	1	1	0	+4	4
4	Hamburg	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Greuther Furth	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Paderborn	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	FC Koln	2	1	0	1	+4	3
9	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	+2	3
10	Hertha	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Nurnberg	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Regensburg	2	1	0	1	-3	3
13	Magdeburg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Preußen Münster	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Darmstadt	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Kaiserslautern	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Ulm	3	0	0	3	-3	0
18	Braunschweig	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Magdeburg	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Kaiserslautern	3	2	0	1	+0	6
4	Paderborn	3	1	2	0	+1	5
5	Greuther Furth	2	1	1	0	+4	4
6	FC Koln	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Hertha	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Karlsruhe	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Nurnberg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Hamburg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Elversberg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Ulm	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Hannover	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Schalke 04	3	0	1	2	-4	1
15	Braunschweig	3	0	1	2	-9	1
16	Regensburg	2	0	0	2	-4	0
17	Preußen Münster	2	0	0	2	-5	0
18	Darmstadt	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.