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Premiership
Referee: C Steven
Celtic
S S S S S
2–0
Full-time
Hearts
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic Hearts
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
3,7
1,8
Scored
3,3
0,3
Conceded
0,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+3,0
-1,2
This season — Premiership · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
3,0
0,5
Conceded
0,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+3,0
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

71% Possession 29%
18 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
7 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celtic 1. · Hearts 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 4 4 0 0 +12 12
2 Aberdeen 4 4 0 0 +6 12
3 Dundee United 4 2 2 0 +3 8
4 Rangers 4 2 1 1 +4 7
5 Motherwell 4 2 1 1 +2 7
6 Dundee 5 1 3 1 +0 6
7 Ross County 5 1 2 2 -5 5
8 St Mirren 4 1 1 2 -2 4
9 ST Johnstone 4 1 0 3 -1 3
10 Hibernian 4 0 2 2 -5 2
11 Hearts 4 0 1 3 -5 1
12 Kilmarnock 4 0 1 3 -9 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Celtic Hearts
Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn 🟨
21′
33′
ℹ️ Lawrence Shankland
VAR: Penalty cancelled
41′
🟨 James Penrice
Half-time 0–0
Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
50′
1–0 A. Engels ⚽
52′
Paulo Bernardo 🔁
↦ R. Hatate
66′
J. Forrest 🔁
↦ N. Kühn
66′
71′
🔁 M. Drammeh
↦ K. Vargas
A. Idah 🔁
↦ K. Furuhashi
72′
72′
🔁 C. Devlin
↦ J. Grant
78′
🔁 Y. Dhanda
↦ B. Baningime
L. McCowan 🔁
↦ A. Engels
80′
L. Palma 🔁
↦ D. Maeda
80′
81′
🔁 A. Forrest
↦ L. Shankland
81′
🔁 B. Spittal
↦ J. Penrice
2–0 L. McCowan ⚽
J. Forrest
89′
Adam Idah ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
93′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Celtic

4-3-3
1 K. Schmeichel G
2 A. Johnston D
20 C. Carter-Vickers D
5 L. Scales D
3 G. Taylor D
27 A. Engels M
42 C. McGregor M
41 R. Hatate M
10 N. Kühn F
8 K. Furuhashi F
38 D. Maeda F
Bench (9)
28 Paulo Bernardo
49 J. Forrest
9 A. Idah
14 L. McCowan
7 L. Palma
12 V. Sinisalo
6 A. Trusty
11 Álex Valle
56 A. Ralston

Coach: B. Rodgers

Hearts

3-5-2
1 C. Gordon G
3 S. Kingsley D
4 C. Halkett D
15 K. Rowles D
82 G. Taylor M
18 M. Boateng M
6 B. Baningime M
7 J. Grant M
29 J. Penrice M
9 L. Shankland F
77 K. Vargas F
Bench (9)
37 M. Drammeh
14 C. Devlin
20 Y. Dhanda
17 A. Forrest
16 B. Spittal
80 A. Salazar
5 D. Oyegoke
28 Z. Clark
2 F. Kent

Coach: S. Naismith

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,17
U
7,81
B
13,28
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5
1,33
U2,5 ✓
3,17
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

C Steven · 58 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.